Result
1:0
14/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Sergipano - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | TV Record |
Chances of winning
Lagarto
49% | Draw
31.4% | Sergipe
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lagarto's performance.Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sergipe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lagarto that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sergipe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lagarto - Sergipe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.36) |
2.88 ↑
(2.74) |
4.61 ↑
(3.03) |
10.5%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lagarto - Sergipe?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lagarto (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Lagarto is Qualified for Sergipano (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Sergipe is Qualified for Sergipano (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lagarto won 2.
- Lagarto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sergipe is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Lagarto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lagarto won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lagarto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lagarto won against Sergipe?
Lagarto has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sergipe won against Lagarto?
Sergipe has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lagarto - Sergipe were as follows:
12.07.2025
Sergipe
-
Lagarto
1:2
03.05.2025
Lagarto
-
Sergipe
0:3
16.02.2025
Sergipe
-
Lagarto
0:4
06.04.2024
Sergipe
-
Lagarto
2:1
31.03.2024
Lagarto
-
Sergipe
1:1
Latest results of Lagarto
Latest results of Sergipe
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lagarto (3) | America SE (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Itabaiana (2) | Falcon (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Confianca (4) | Guarany SE (5) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | America SE (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | Confianca (4) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Confianca (4) | |
3rd place| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | America SE (6) | |
