Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 1, Thierry ⚽,
- 62', 0 - 2, Thierry ⚽,
- 72', 1 - 2, Matheus Sacramento ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sergipe
45.1% | Draw
29.9% | Lagarto
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+3%)
Sergipe - Lagarto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.02) |
3.03 ↓
(3.3) |
3.62 ↑
(3.27) |
10.5%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sergipe - Lagarto?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sergipe (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 2.
- Sergipe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lagarto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sergipe might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sergipe won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sergipe won against Lagarto?
Sergipe has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagarto won against Sergipe?
Lagarto has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sergipe - Lagarto were as follows:
03.05.2025
Lagarto
-
Sergipe
0:3
16.02.2025
Sergipe
-
Lagarto
0:4
06.04.2024
Sergipe
-
Lagarto
2:1
31.03.2024
Lagarto
-
Sergipe
1:1
31.01.2024
Sergipe
-
Lagarto
0:0
Latest results of Sergipe
Latest results of Lagarto
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 14 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | America RN | Imperatriz | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maranhao | ASA | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | America RN | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Cianorte | Barra FC | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | Inter de Limeira | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maranhao | Santa Cruz | |
| 2 | Barra FC | Inter de Limeira | |
Final
