Result
2:2
20/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 17
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 2.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (265/338) | 85% (438/518) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 2.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (265/338) | 85% (438/518) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (27/63) | 37% (14/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (105/146) | 80% (118/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 1 - 0, Linssen B. ⚽,
- 11', Linssen B. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Dolberg K. ⚽, Gaaei A. (A),
- 44', 1 - 2, Godts M. ⚽, Regeer Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Steur S. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 2, Ouaissa S. ⚽, Linssen B. (A),
- 59', Ouaissa S. 🟥,
- 63', Linssen B. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
- 64', Ogawa K. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
- 72', Klaassen D. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
- 75', Onal B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 75', Chery T. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 78', Bounida R. 🟨,
- 83', Gloukh O. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
- 88', Godts M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Rosa L. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
- 90+3', Regeer Y. 🟨,
- 90+4', Crettaz G. 🟨,
- 90+5', Kaplan A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
44.5% | Draw
23.6% | Ajax
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
NEC Nijmegen - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.47) |
4 ↑
(3.68) |
2.98 ↑
(2.56) |
5.6%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Ajax will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 25.9% – 65.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.
- In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
- Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of away games.
- Nijmegen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: El Kachati Y.
(Injury)
Entius F.
(Knee Injury)
Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S.
(Groin Injury)
McConnell J.
(Health problems)
Sutalo J.
(Health problems)
Weghorst W.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Cillessen J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Taylor K.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:49. (average 1.1:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:22. (average 0.6:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Ajax?
NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against NEC Nijmegen?
Ajax has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Ajax were as follows:
11.05.2025
Ajax
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:3
01.12.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Ajax
1:2
18.02.2024
Ajax
-
NEC Nijmegen
2:2
03.12.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Ajax
1:2
05.03.2023
Ajax
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 57:22 | 35 | 49 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 44:23 | 21 | 36 |
| 3 | Ajax | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 35:24 | 11 | 33 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 43:29 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Groningen | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Twente | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 26 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 20:31 | -11 | 26 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 24 |
| 10 | Utrecht | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 23 |
| 11 | Sittard | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 28:31 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:39 | -17 | 20 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 17:32 | -15 | 19 |
| 15 | Telstar | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | FC Volendam | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19:32 | -13 | 14 |
| 18 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 26:46 | -20 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
