Shenzhen Leopards vs Guangzhou Long-Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/03/2026 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Shenzhen Dayun Arena (Shenzhen).

CBA

Match Stats


Field goals attempts
77	68
Field goals made
35	30
Field goals %
45.45%	44.12%
2-point field goals attempts
50	42
2-point field goals made
23	20
2-point field goals %
46%	47.62%
3-point field goals attempts
27	26
3-point field goals made
12	10
3-point field goals %
44.44%	38.46%
Free throws attempts
25	29
Free throws made
15	26
Free throws %
60%	89.7%
Offensive rebounds
14	10
Defensive rebounds
26	31
Total rebounds
40	41
Assists
18	18
Blocks
7	3
Turnovers
7	13
Steals
7	2
Personal fouls
25	20

Chances of winning

Shenzhen Leopards
77%

Guangzhou Long-Lions
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Leopards's performance.

Guangzhou Long-Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Long-Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Leopards than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Leopards that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Long-Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.33)		4.11 ↑ (3.1)	6.6% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

What is the prediction for Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -9.5, OT - Shenzhen (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 96.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shenzhen (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 98:87.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Guangzhou may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Shenzhen is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2099:2123. (average 105:106.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Shenzhen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1029:1087. (average 102.9:108.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Leopards won against Guangzhou Long-Lions?

Shenzhen Leopards has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Long-Lions won against Shenzhen Leopards?

Guangzhou Long-Lions has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions were as follows:

08.03.2025 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shenzhen Leopards 86:104

29.10.2024 Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions 101:108

24.03.2024 Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions 89:101

05.02.2024 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shenzhen Leopards 109:96

03.12.2023 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shenzhen Leopards 108:115

Latest results of Shenzhen Leopards

13.03.2026 Shenzhen Leopards - Guangdong Southern Tigers 97:101 ✺

11.03.2026 Shenzhen Leopards - Liaoning Dinosaurs 88:96 ✺

03.02.2026 Nanjing Monkey King - Shenzhen Leopards 126:123 ✺

01.02.2026 Jiangsu Dragons - Shenzhen Leopards 71:90 ✺

30.01.2026 Shanghai Sharks - Shenzhen Leopards 101:92 ✺

Latest results of Guangzhou Long-Lions

14.03.2026 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Beijing Ducks 85:98 ✺

12.03.2026 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Ningbo Rockets 83:84 ✺

05.03.2026 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin 93:85 ✺

03.02.2026 Qingdao DoubleStar - Guangzhou Long-Lions 88:81 ✺

31.01.2026 Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Guangzhou Long-Lions 83:80 ✺

CBA Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Shanghai	27	23	4	2616:2192	0.852
2	Zhejiang Guangsha	27	22	5	2438:2121	0.815
3	Guangdong	27	19	8	2551:2444	0.704
4	Beijing	26	17	9	2328:2126	0.654
5	Shandong	27	17	10	2516:2401	0.630
6	Qingdao	27	16	11	2316:2189	0.593
7	Shenzhen	27	16	11	2585:2544	0.593
8	Zhejiang Chouzhou	27	15	12	2334:2224	0.556
9	Liaoning	27	15	12	2275:2229	0.556
10	Shanxi Zhongyu	27	14	13	2434:2366	0.519
11	Ningbo Rockets	26	13	13	2242:2215	0.500
12	Beijing Royal Fighters	27	12	15	2381:2523	0.444
13	Xinjiang	27	11	16	2320:2265	0.407
14	Jilin	27	11	16	2244:2378	0.407
15	Guangzhou	27	11	16	2339:2400	0.407
16	Fujian	26	10	16	2328:2419	0.385
17	Nanjing Tongxi	27	10	17	2439:2578	0.370
18	Tianjin	27	9	18	2478:2552	0.333
19	Jiangsu Dragons	27	7	20	2189:2453	0.259
20	Sichuan	26	0	26	1834:2568	0.000

Promotion ~ CBA (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ CBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)