Atalanta vs Bologna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo).

Serie A - Round 32
Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv, K24
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.58
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
4	12
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
72% (217/300)	82% (372/456)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.81	0.33
Total shots
4	12
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
1	3
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
4	6
Shots outside the Box
0	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
14	21
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
12	17
Passes
72% (217/300)	82% (372/456)
Long passes
47% (29/62)	47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
57% (39/69)	63% (74/117)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	0.78
Fouls
17	12
Tackles
50% (8/16)	60% (12/20)
Duels won
49	59
Clearances Total
26	26
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	0
xGOT faced
0.33	1.81
Goals prevented
0.33	-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Retegui M. ⚽, Bellanova R. (A),
7', Hien I. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Pasalic M. ⚽, Retegui M. (A),
34', Zappacosta D. 🟨,
45', Kolasinac S. ↓, Toloi R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fabbian G. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
46', Orsolini R. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
46', Lucumi J. ↓, Casale N. ↑,
60', Retegui M. 🟨,
66', Toloi R. 🟨,
71', De Silvestri L. ↓, Holm E. ↑,
77', Casale N. ↓, Erlic M. ↑,
81', Lookman A. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
81', Retegui M. ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
81', Bellanova R. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
85', Zappacosta D. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
90+3', Miranda J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Atalanta
46.6%

Draw
28%

Bologna
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

28%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atalanta's form might have worsened.

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Atalanta - Bologna Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.85)	3.4 ↓ (3.69)	3.74 ↓ (4.32)	4.6% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Atalanta - Bologna?

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Bologna will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 22.5% – 57.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bologna (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Bologna (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 0.
Atalanta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Bologna in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Atalanta will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Atalanta: De Ketelaere C. (Thigh Injury) Kossounou O. (Thigh Injury) Posch S. (Thigh Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Bologna: Calabria D. (Ankle Injury) Ferguson L. (Muscle Injury) Skorupski L. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Atalanta: Palestra M. (Inactive) Toloi R. (Groin Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:19 (average 1.5:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:8 (average 1.7:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Bologna?

Atalanta has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Atalanta?

Bologna has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Bologna were as follows:

04.02.2025 Atalanta - Bologna 0:1

28.09.2024 Bologna - Atalanta 1:1

03.03.2024 Atalanta - Bologna 1:2

23.12.2023 Bologna - Atalanta 1:0

08.04.2023 Atalanta - Bologna 0:2

Latest results of Atalanta

06.04.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Juventus - Atalanta 0:4 ✺

01.03.2025 Atalanta - Venezia 0:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Empoli - Atalanta 0:5 ✺

Latest results of Bologna

07.04.2025 Bologna - Napoli 1:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Empoli - Bologna 0:3 ✺

29.03.2025 Venezia - Bologna 0:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Verona - Bologna 1:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Bologna - Cagliari 2:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
2	Juventus	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	5:3	2	6
4	AS Roma	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6
5	Udinese	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
6	Inter	2	1	0	1	6:2	4	3
7	Lazio	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3
8	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
9	Como	2	1	0	1	2:1	1	3
10	Bologna	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
11	Atalanta	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
12	Fiorentina	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
13	Pisa	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
14	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
15	Genoa	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
16	Parma	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
17	Lecce	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
18	Verona	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
19	Torino	2	0	1	1	0:5	-5	1
20	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B