Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 23
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (327/422) | 82% (385/472) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.34 | 2.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 22 | 49 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
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| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (327/422) | 82% (385/472) |
| Long passes |
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| 59% (45/76) | 48% (29/61) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 68% (77/114) | 76% (141/185) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 36% (9/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.09 | 2.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
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| 40% (10/25) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 54 |
| Clearances |
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| 41 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
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| 18 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, van Duijn S. ⚽, Thorisson N. (A),
- 25', van den Belt T. 🟨,
- 28', Propper R. ↓, Nijstad R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 66', Hlynsson K. ↓, Weidmann D. ↑,
- 66', Thorisson N. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,
- 75', Lemkin S. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Pjaca M. ⚽, Lammers S. (A),
- 85', Hatenboer C. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
- 90', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 🟨,
- 90', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Telstar
16.7% | Draw
21.3% | Twente
62% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Twente's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Twente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Telstar - Twente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.66 ↑
(4.53) |
4.46 ↑
(3.77) |
1.53 ↓
(1.71) |
5.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Telstar - Twente?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 56.3% – 96.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Twente (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Twente (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Twente (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Twente will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Twente (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Telstar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Twente is considered a favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Telstar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Twente?
Telstar has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Telstar?
Twente has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Telstar - Twente were as follows:
07.11.2025
Twente
-
Telstar
0:0
10.01.2023
Twente
-
Telstar
3:1
Latest results of Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
