AEK Athens vs Tofaş – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
96:88
11/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Winners stage - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 2

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7456
Field goals made
3332
Field goals %
44.59%57.14%
2-point field goals attempts
4640
2-point field goals made
2027
2-point field goals %
43.48%67.5%
3-point field goals attempts
2816
3-point field goals made
135
3-point field goals %
46.43%31.25%
Free throws attempts
2126
Free throws made
1720
Free throws %
81%76.9%
Offensive rebounds
205
Defensive rebounds
1917
Total rebounds
3922
Assists
2323
Blocks
05
Turnovers
1415
Steals
88
Personal fouls
2116

Highlights

Chances of winning


AEK Athens
72.9%
Tofaş
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Tofaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Athens that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tofaş could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • AEK Athens - Tofaş Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.3)

    3.38
    (3.25)
    6.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 165.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Tofaş?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -6.5, OT - AEK (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - AEK (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • AEK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tofaş is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • AEK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, AEK is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that AEK will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, AEK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 331:323. (average 82.8:80.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, AEK won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 73:70.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Tofaş were as follows:
    03.02.2026 Tofaş - AEK Athens 90:93
    10.01.2023 Tofaş - AEK Athens 82:85
    04.01.2023 AEK Athens - Tofaş 73:70
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    07.03.2026 AEK Athens - Promitheas Patras 102:85
    14.02.2026 PAOK - AEK Athens 71:88
    10.02.2026 Karditsas - AEK Athens 62:90
    07.02.2026 AEK Athens - Maroussi Athens 83:74
    Latest results of Tofaş
    08.03.2026 Tofaş - Esenler Erokspor 81:91
    18.02.2026 Tofaş - Beşiktaş 91:100
    14.02.2026 Büyükçekmece - Tofaş 81:91
    10.02.2026 ALBA Berlin - Tofaş 69:60
    07.02.2026 Tofaş - Mersin SK 83:88
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1UnicajaAlba Berlin1 : 0
    2AEK AthensJoventut Badalona1 : 1
    3RytasNymburk2 : 0
    4TenerifeGalatasaray1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2RytasTBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place