Result
0:1
07/02/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 21
- Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | TV5 Monde Europe |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Cignal Play |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/442) | 82% (323/392) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (368/442) | 82% (323/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (15/39) | 40% (21/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (96/137) | 67% (70/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Endrick 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Sulc P. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
- 37', Amian K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
- 61', Endrick 🟥,
- 63', Tabibou D. ↓, Machado D. ↑,
- 66', Ali Youssef 🟨,
- 72', Cozza N. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
- 73', Amian K. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
- 76', Greif D. 🟨,
- 82', Kaba M. 🟨,
- 87', Moreira A. ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
- 87', Kaba M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 90+4', Sulc P. ↓, Merah K. ↑,
- 90+9', Abline M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nantes
19.6% | Draw
25.4% | Lyon
55% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Nantes - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.86 ↓
(5.11) |
3.76 ↓
(3.91) |
1.73 ↑
(1.65) |
5.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nantes - Lyon?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Nantes (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.75 - Lyon (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Lyon (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Lyon (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lyon will win
(49 of 54 users predict this - 90.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.01% – 98.47%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (32 of 32 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 36 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 2.8%). Lyon (votes: 35 - 97.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 0.
- Nantes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lyon is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lyon is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Nantes: Guilbert F.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M.
(Ankle Injury)
Kluivert R.
(Muscle Injury)
Mangala O.
(Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
Tagliafico N.
(Ankle Injury)
Tolisso C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nantes: Machado D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lyon: Ghezzal R.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Lyon?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Nantes?
Lyon has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Lyon were as follows:
30.11.2025
Lyon
-
Nantes
3:0
26.01.2025
Nantes
-
Lyon
1:1
06.10.2024
Lyon
-
Nantes
2:0
07.04.2024
Nantes
-
Lyon
1:3
20.12.2023
Lyon
-
Nantes
1:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
