Result
4:0
22/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 24
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (348/419) | 83% (334/402) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.47 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (348/419) | 83% (334/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 45% (27/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (90/127) | 67% (81/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/23) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 3.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Tengstedt S. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Tengstedt S. ⚽, Margaret R. (A),
- 41', Bozinovski R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Bozinovski R. ↓, Ould Chikh W. ↑,
- 49', Mirani D. 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 0, Meulensteen M. ⚽,
- 53', Bruns T. 🟨,
- 58', Dirksen J. ↓, van Zwam G. ↑,
- 59', Tengstedt S. ↓, Sigurdarson S. I. ↑,
- 60', Benita M. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
- 60', van der Kust D. ↓, Ahlstrand E. ↑,
- 63', 3 - 0, Suray M. ⚽, Meulensteen M. (A),
- 67', Margaret R. ↓, Sivertsen O. ↑,
- 67', 4 - 0, Breum J. ⚽, Sivertsen O. (A),
- 75', Breum J. ↓, Linthorst E. ↑,
- 75', Suray M. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Go Ahead Eagles 50.6% | Draw 25.2% | Heracles Almelo 24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↑ (1.71) |
3.77 ↓ (3.88) |
3.94 ↓ (4.37) |
5.7% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Heracles will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 56% – 94%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Go Ahead Eagles will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Heracles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Go Ahead is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Go Ahead: Baeten T.
(Red Card)
Nauber G.
(Broken Leg)
Saathof P.
(Knee Injury)
Weijenberg R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Heracles: Engels M.
(Inactive)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Muscle Injury)
de Keijzer F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Go Ahead: James D.
(Inactive)
Suray M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Borges Sanches Y.
(Illness)
Limbombe B.
(Illness)
Van Hoorenbeeck A.
(Illness)
Wieckhoff J.
(Illness)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Go Ahead won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Go Ahead Eagles won against Heracles Almelo?
Go Ahead Eagles has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Go Ahead Eagles?
Heracles Almelo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
14.01.2026
Go Ahead Eagles
-
Heracles Almelo
3:2
22.11.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Go Ahead Eagles
4:2
08.02.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Go Ahead Eagles
4:2
06.10.2024
Go Ahead Eagles
-
Heracles Almelo
4:1
15.03.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Go Ahead Eagles
2:0
Latest results of Go Ahead Eagles
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie