Result
2:3
31/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 4
- Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/449) | 84% (311/370) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/449) | 84% (311/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (35/76) | 57% (27/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (36/68) | 76% (73/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', Macias O. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 24', Aguirre D. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Ledezma R. ⚽, Alvarado R. (A),
- 36', 1 - 1, Joao Pedro Galvao (Penalty Awarded),
- 44', Sanchez A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Aguirre D. ⚽, Romo L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 2 - 2, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Robson Bambu (A),
- 49', 2 - 3, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Gonzalez B. (A),
- 56', Rangel R. 🟨,
- 65', Gonzalez A. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
- 65', Gutierrez B. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 73', Barajas F. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 73', Perez S. ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
- 80', Alvarez E. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 80', Ledezma R. ↓, Campillo Del Campo D. ↑,
- 82', Lucas Esteves ↓, Torres R. ↑,
- 82', Garcia M. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
- 84', Govea O. 🟨,
- 90+1', Aguirre D. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético San Luis
20.3% | Draw
26.2% | Chivas Guadalajara
53.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.6 ↑
(3.79) |
3.6 ↑
(3.43) |
1.77 ↓
(1.93) |
6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 2.
- Atlético San Luis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guadalajara is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Atlético San Luis has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Guadalajara is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Atlético San Luis has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Atlético San Luis?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
26.07.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlético San Luis
4:3
26.02.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:1
09.11.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlético San Luis
0:1
04.02.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:2
08.07.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlético San Luis
3:1
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
