Marsa vs St. Andrews – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
28
Total shots
912
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 77', 0 - 1, ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Davi Versiani ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Marsa
28.1%
Draw
24.8%
St. Andrews
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 23.8% 48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 23.9% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • St. Andrews has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Marsa - St. Andrews Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (3.32)
    3.65
    (3.8)
    1.92
    (1.85)
    10.4%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).
    • Recent form of Marsa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • St. Andrews is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • St. Andrews may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, St. Andrews is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marsa - St. Andrews were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Marsa - St. Andrews 0:0
    27.01.2024 St. Andrews - Marsa 1:4
    21.01.2023 Marsa - St. Andrews 0:2
    07.01.2023 St. Andrews - Marsa 2:3
    Latest results of Marsa
    10.12.2025 Swieqi United - Marsa 1:2
    29.11.2025 Marsa - Mġarr United 2:3
    22.11.2025 Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa 1:0
    01.11.2025 Marsa - Sirens 2:2
    Latest results of St. Andrews
    13.12.2025 St. Andrews - Melita 1:0
    30.11.2025 St. Andrews - Sirens 0:4
    23.11.2025 Gudja United - St. Andrews 0:1
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr1784535:251028
    2Santa Lucia1757530:27322
    3Gudja1757517:18-122
    4Zurrieq17521025:29-417
    5Vittoriosa1744921:27-616
    6Zebbug17331116:38-2212
    7Marsa17251021:32-119
    8Mtarfa1711159:78-69-2

          Relegation