Result
1:3
15/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Abouzziane S. ⚽, Evaristi M. (A),
- 31', 0 - 2, Mariano M. ⚽, Abouzziane S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 72', 1 - 2, Bua A. ⚽,
- 79', 1 - 3, Costantini M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cailungo
24.9% | Draw
27.8% | Fiorentino
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Cailungo - Fiorentino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↓
(3.65) |
3.25 ↓
(3.38) |
1.91 ↓
(1.93) |
10.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 1.
- Cailungo is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Fiorentino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cailungo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fiorentino could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cailungo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cailungo won against Fiorentino?
Cailungo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentino won against Cailungo?
Fiorentino has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cailungo - Fiorentino were as follows:
23.11.2025
Fiorentino
-
Cailungo
1:0
09.11.2024
Fiorentino
-
Cailungo
1:0
24.01.2024
Cailungo
-
Fiorentino
0:3
23.09.2023
Fiorentino
-
Cailungo
0:1
16.04.2023
Fiorentino
-
Cailungo
6:0
Latest results of Cailungo
Latest results of Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
