Result
3:0
23/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | New World Sport 2 |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Asia | MBC Action |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | Sport Live |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | Infinity+, Italia 1 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Slovakia | Sport 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Spain | DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Sport Bladet Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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4.33 | 0.17 |
Ball Possession |
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77% | 23% |
Total shots |
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24 | 2 |
Shots on target |
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10 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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9 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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12 | 2 |
Passes |
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94% (691/734) | 80% (177/221) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 1 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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4.33 | 0.17 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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3.11 | 0.42 |
Total shots |
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24 | 2 |
Shots on target |
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10 | 1 |
Shots off target |
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11 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
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18 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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4 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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9 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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12 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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35 | 3 |
Accurate through passes |
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3 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 11 |
Passes |
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94% (691/734) | 80% (177/221) |
Long passes |
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76% (29/38) | 42% (16/38) |
Passes in final third |
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88% (179/203) | 44% (8/18) |
Crosses |
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38% (10/26) | 25% (1/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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3.21 | 0.05 |
Throw-ins |
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12 | 16 |
Fouls |
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11 | 8 |
Tackles |
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73% (8/11) | 60% (6/10) |
Duels won |
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37 | 33 |
Clearances |
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8 | 24 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
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0.42 | 3.11 |
Goals prevented |
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0.42 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Siebert J. 🟥,
- 20', 1 - 0, Gimenez S. ⚽, Bartesaghi D. (A),
- 22', Ndri K. ↓, Gaspar K. ↑,
- 35', Ricci S. 🟨,
- 43', Kaba M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kaba M. ↓, Pierotti S. ↑,
- 46', Helgason T. J. ↓, Gorter O. ↑,
- 46', Ricci S. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Nkunku C. ⚽, Saelemaekers A. (A),
- 57', Tete Morente ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
- 61', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
- 61', Nkunku C. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 0, Pulisic C. ⚽, Fofana Y. (A),
- 68', Gimenez S. ↓, Balentien C. ↑,
- 70', Pavlovic S. 🟨,
- 79', Pavlovic S. ↓, Odogu D. ↑,
- 80', Berisha M. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milan 85% | Draw 10.6% | Lecce 4.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milan's performance.Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Milan - Lecce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.12 ↓ (1.32) |
9.69 ↑ (5.1) |
22.42 ↑ (11.5) |
3.9% (4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Milan - Lecce?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 76.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 4.
- Milan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lecce is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Milan is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Milan won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:9. (average 2.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Lecce?
Milan has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Milan?
Lecce has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Lecce were as follows:
29.08.2025
Lecce
-
Milan
0:2
08.03.2025
Lecce
-
Milan
2:3
27.09.2024
Milan
-
Lecce
3:0
06.04.2024
Milan
-
Lecce
3:0
11.11.2023
Lecce
-
Milan
2:2
Draw
2025/261/64-finals1 | Bologna | Bye | |
5 | Parma | Bye | |
6 | Pescara | Rimini | 1 : 0 |
7 | Spezia | Bye | |
8 | Bye | Sampdoria | |
9 | Lazio | Bye | |
13 | AC Milan | Bye | |
14 | Bye | Bari | |
15 | Lecce | Bye | |
16 | Bye | Juve Stabia | |
17 | Juventus | Bye | |
21 | Udinese | Bye | |
22 | Bye | Carrarese | |
23 | Cremonese | Bye | |
24 | Bye | Palermo | |
25 | Atalanta | Bye | |
29 | Empoli | Bye | |
30 | Bye | Reggiana | |
31 | Genoa | Bye | |
32 | Padova | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 2 |
33 | Inter | Bye | |
37 | Audace Cerignola | Avellino | 1 : 0 |
38 | Verona | Bye | |
39 | Venezia | Bye | |
40 | Bye | Mantova | |
41 | AS Roma | Bye | |
45 | Torino | Bye | |
46 | Bye | Modena | |
47 | Pisa | Bye | |
48 | Bye | Cesena | |
49 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
53 | Como | Bye | |
54 | Bye | Sudtirol | |
55 | Sassuolo | Bye | |
56 | Bye | Catanzaro | |
57 | Napoli | Bye | |
61 | Monza | Bye | |
62 | Bye | Frosinone | |
63 | Cagliari | Bye | |
64 | Entella | Ternana | 4 : 0 |
1/32-finals1 | Bologna | Bye | |
3 | Parma | Pescara | 2 : 0 |
4 | Spezia | Sampdoria | 2 : 1 |
5 | Lazio | Bye | |
7 | AC Milan | Bari | 2 : 0 |
8 | Lecce | Juve Stabia | 2 : 0 |
9 | Juventus | Bye | |
11 | Udinese | Carrarese | 2 : 0 |
12 | Cremonese | Palermo | 0 : 1 |
13 | Atalanta | Bye | |
15 | Empoli | Reggiana | 2 : 1 |
16 | Genoa | L.R. Vicenza | 3 : 0 |
17 | Inter | Bye | |
19 | Audace Cerignola | Verona | 1 : 2 |
20 | Venezia | Mantova | 4 : 0 |
21 | AS Roma | Bye | |
23 | Torino | Modena | 1 : 0 |
24 | Pisa | Cesena | 1 : 0 |
25 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
27 | Como | Sudtirol | 3 : 1 |
28 | Sassuolo | Catanzaro | 1 : 0 |
29 | Napoli | Bye | |
31 | Monza | Frosinone | 0 : 1 |
32 | Cagliari | Entella | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals1 | Bologna | Bye | |
2 | Parma | Spezia | 3 : 2 |
3 | Lazio | Bye | |
4 | AC Milan | Lecce | 3 : 0 |
5 | Juventus | Bye | |
6 | Udinese | Palermo | 2 : 1 |
7 | Atalanta | Bye | |
8 | Empoli | Genoa | 1 : 3 |
9 | Inter | Bye | |
10 | Verona | Venezia | 0 : 1 |
11 | AS Roma | Bye | |
12 | Torino | Pisa | 1 : 0 |
13 | Fiorentina | Bye | |
14 | Como | Sassuolo | 3 : 0 |
15 | Napoli | Bye | |
16 | Frosinone | Cagliari | 1 : 4 |
1/8-finals1 | Bologna | Parma | |
2 | Lazio | AC Milan | |
3 | Juventus | Udinese | |
4 | Atalanta | Genoa | |
5 | Inter | Venezia | |
6 | AS Roma | Torino | |
7 | Fiorentina | Como | |
8 | Napoli | Cagliari | |
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