Lecce vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce).

ITALY: Serie A - Round 28
Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.86	3.19
Ball Possession
29%	71%
Goal Attempts
11	16
Shots on Goal
3	9
Shots off Goal
6	6
Blocked Shots
2	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
2	7
Shots inside the Box
8	13
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
Free Kicks
7	13
Offsides
2	7
Fouls
13	7
Yellow Cards
2	1
Throw-ins
18	15
Touches in the Opposition Box
14	33
Passes
68% (164/242)	89% (518/581)
Passes in the final third
50% (40/80)	84% (142/169)
Crosses
20% (2/10)	41% (9/22)
Tackles
73% (16/22)	67% (4/6)
Clearances Total
38	14
Interceptions
7	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Krstovic N. ⚽, Helgason T. J. (A),
42', Berisha M. 🟨,
45+4', Conceicao S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Jimenez A. ↓, Leao R. ↑,
56', Berisha M. ↓, Pierret B. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Krstovic N. ⚽, Guilbert F. (A),
62', Gimenez S. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
62', Bondo W. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Gallo A. (Own goal),
73', 2 - 2, Pulisic C. (Pen),
74', Helgason T. J. ↓, Ramadani Y. ↑,
74', Pierotti S. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
74', Musah Y. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
75', Walker K. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
81', 2 - 3, Pulisic C. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
83', Coulibaly L. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
83', Tete Morente ↓, Banda L. ↑,
88', Abraham T. 🟨,
90+1', Krstovic N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lecce
20.5%

Draw
27%

Milan
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

23.7%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

23.3%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lecce - Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (5.01)	3.55 ↓ (4.05)	1.82 ↑ (1.68)	4.4% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : FOX Deportes

What is the prediction for Lecce - Milan?

Users Predictions: Milan will win (40 of 49 users predict this - 81.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.79% – 92.47%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lecce won 0.
Recent matches Lecce is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Milan is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lecce could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Milan is a favorite.
There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J. (Chest Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Milan: Emerson Royal (Muscle Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Thigh Injury) Maignan M. (Suspended) Pavlovic S. (Red Card) Traore C. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Lecce: Pierotti S. (Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Lecce won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:20 (average 0.9:2.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.7:2.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Milan?

Lecce has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Lecce?

Milan has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Milan were as follows:

27.09.2024 Milan - Lecce 3:0

06.04.2024 Milan - Lecce 3:0

11.11.2023 Lecce - Milan 2:2

23.04.2023 Milan - Lecce 2:0

14.01.2023 Lecce - Milan 2:2

Latest results of Lecce

28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0 ✺

21.02.2025 Lecce - Udinese 0:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Monza - Lecce 0:0 ✺

09.02.2025 Lecce - Bologna 0:0 ✺

31.01.2025 Parma - Lecce 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Milan

02.03.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:2 ✺

27.02.2025 Bologna - Milan 2:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Torino - Milan 2:1 ✺

18.02.2025 Milan - Feyenoord 1:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Milan - Verona 1:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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