Toronto Marlies vs Manitoba Moose – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose
Result
2:1 penalties
01/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USA: AHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2731
Shooting PCT
3.7% (1/27)3.23% (1/31)
Goalkeeper Saves
3026
Saves PCT
96.77% (30/31)96.3% (26/27)
Penalties
1411
PIM
5246
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/11)0% (0/14)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (14/14)100% (11/11)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 12:14, 0 - 1, Shaw M. (G), Toninato D. (A), Sautner A. (A2)
  • 13:53, 1 - 1, Tverberg R. (G), Pare C. (A), Villeneuve W. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 0)
  • 1, Abruzzese N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, King Ben (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Shaw L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Lambert B. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Toronto Marlies
48.5%
Draw
21.3%
Manitoba Moose
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 23.7% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 22.8% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toronto Marlies's performance.
  • Manitoba Moose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manitoba Moose might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toronto Marlies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manitoba Moose than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manitoba Moose could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.75)
    4.34
    (3.9)
    3.07
    (2.16)
    8.3%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toronto won 3.
    • Toronto is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Manitoba is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Manitoba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Manitoba have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Toronto won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 60:54 (average 3:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 40:36 (average 3.3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose 1:2
    19.01.2025 Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies 0:5
    17.01.2025 Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies 0:3
    29.03.2024 Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies 4:3
    27.03.2024 Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies 1:2
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    Latest results of Manitoba Moose
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3300011:46
    2Providence Bruins3210014:86
    3Lehigh Valley Phantoms320019:64
    4Charlotte Checkers3200113:114
    5Bridgeport Islanders3101111:103
    6Hershey Bears200114:81
    7Springfield Thunderbirds100013:40
    8Hartford Wolf Pack200023:70


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins3300012:76
    2Rockford IceHogs3120011:56
    3Chicago Wolves110004:12
    4Manitoba Moose310028:112
    5Milwaukee Admirals100102:31
    6Texas Stars300126:91
    7Iowa Wild300035:160


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Eagles220008:44
    2Abbotsford Canucks311016:64
    3Henderson Silver Knights310115:63
    4Ontario Reign310118:93
    5San Diego Gulls110005:02
    6San Jose Barracuda110007:62
    7Tucson Roadrunners201017:82
    8Bakersfield Condors100016:70
    9Calgary Wranglers200024:80
    10Coachella Valley Firebirds100010:50


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket320019:64
    2Rochester Americans3200112:114
    3Syracuse Crunch211008:44
    4Cleveland Monsters311014:54
    5Toronto Marlies210017:52
    6Utica Comets300126:111
    7Belleville Senators200024:110

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )