Result
2:3
22/01/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Premiere |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 4.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (246/313) | 90% (481/536) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 4.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 4.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (246/313) | 90% (481/536) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (26/53) | 48% (19/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (29/52) | 81% (119/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 40% (8/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.19 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.19 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Rickelme Lopes 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Leo David ⚽, Rickelme Lopes (A),
- 45+1', Acosta L. 🟨,
- 45+5', Sidney Pages 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Matheus Reis ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Serna K. ⚽, Martinelli (A),
- 58', 1 - 2, Everaldo ⚽, Samuel Xavier (A),
- 62', Leo Rafael ↓, Iago Lacerda ↑,
- 63', Leo David ↓, Luan Capanni ↑,
- 68', Sidney Pages 🟨,
- 71', Acosta L. ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 71', Everaldo ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 71', Rickelme Lopes ↓, Ze Gabriel ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Jorge Pedra ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 3, Serna K. ⚽,
- 81', PH Ganso ↓, Lima ↑,
- 81', Samuel Xavier ↓, Guga ↑,
- 84', Xandinho ↓, Alexandre Balbino ↑,
- 84', Jorge Pedra ↓, Pedro Thomaz ↑,
Chances of winning
Nova Iguaçu
15.7% | Draw
26.5% | Fluminense
57.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Nova Iguaçu - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.87 ↓
(6.03) |
3.47 ↓
(3.63) |
1.6 ↑
(1.56) |
8.5%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nova Iguaçu - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nova Iguaçu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 80%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 0.
- Fluminense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nova Iguaçu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fluminense is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nova Iguaçu won against Fluminense?
Nova Iguaçu has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Nova Iguaçu?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Iguaçu - Fluminense were as follows:
16.02.2025
Fluminense
-
Nova Iguaçu
2:0
28.01.2024
Fluminense
-
Nova Iguaçu
3:0
17.01.2023
Fluminense
-
Nova Iguaçu
1:0
Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
Latest results of Fluminense
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Bangu | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Volta Redonda | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Madureira | Boavista | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Vasco | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Madureira | 3 : 0 |
Final
