Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Qatar SC Stadium (Doha).

QSL - Round 18
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.30	0.45
Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
8	4
Passes
79% (246/312)	74% (216/291)
Yellow cards
7	2
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.30	0.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.44	0.10
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
11	5
Blocked shots
5	1
Shots inside the box
8	5
Shots outside the box
12	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
21	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
13	17
Passes
79% (246/312)	74% (216/291)
Long passes
39% (21/54)	37% (22/60)
Passes in final third
69% (60/87)	58% (45/77)
Crosses
29% (7/24)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.47
Throw ins
20	18
Fouls
17	13
Tackles
71% (15/21)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
57	56
Clearances
19	18
Interceptions
14	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.10	1.44
Goals prevented
0.10	-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Diaz F. 🟨,
20', Djalo A. 🟨,
21', Russo F. 🟨,
24', Mason N. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Al Battat M. ⚽,
36', Mason N. ↓, Danzabe R. ↑,
39', Al Rashdan N. 🟨,
45+2', Sano S. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Djalo A. ↓, Brahimi Y. ↑,
50', Joao Pedro 🟨,
56', Russo F. ↓, Diouf S. F. ↑,
58', Diaz F. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
59', Palangi E. 🟨,
65', Danzabe R. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽, Al Rawi A. (A),
76', Al Rawi A. 🟨,
77', Al Hadhrami N. ↓, Aiash M. ↑,
78', Al Rashdan N. ↓, Yan ↑,
78', Al Rawi A. ↓, Ibrahim A. ↑,
79', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Al Khlif Y. M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Qatar SC
35.8%

Draw
26%

Al-Gharafa
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

24.3%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

24%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qatar SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qatar SC's performance.

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Gharafa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qatar SC than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qatar SC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Gharafa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.15)	3.54 ↓ (3.83)	2.42 ↑ (2.01)	8.5% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Qatar SC will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qatar SC won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Qatar SC has had a series of away games.
Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of home games.
Al-Gharafa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Qatar SC won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 37:36. (average 1.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Qatar SC won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 3:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Qatar SC won against Al-Gharafa?

Qatar SC has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Qatar SC?

Al-Gharafa has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa were as follows:

19.01.2026 Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa 3:2

07.11.2025 Al-Gharafa - Qatar SC 2:1

22.02.2025 Al-Gharafa - Qatar SC 4:2

22.09.2024 Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa 1:3

19.05.2024 Al-Gharafa - Qatar SC 2:3

Latest results of Qatar SC

28.02.2026 Al-Shamal - Qatar SC Postponed ✺

20.02.2026 Al-Shahania - Qatar SC 3:4 ✺

13.02.2026 Al-Shamal - Qatar SC 2:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Qatar SC - Al-Rayyan 3:3 ✺

31.01.2026 Al-Ahli Doha - Qatar SC 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Al-Gharafa

26.02.2026 Al-Gharafa - Al-Rayyan 3:2 ✺

22.02.2026 Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal 0:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Al-Gharafa - Tractor Sazi 0:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Al-Gharafa - Al-Kharitiyath 2:0 ✺

10.02.2026 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Gharafa 7:0 ✺

Qatar QSL Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al-Sadd	19	12	2	5	49:26	23	38
2	Shamal	18	10	4	4	31:21	10	34
3	Al-Gharafa	19	11	1	7	30:29	1	34
4	Al Rayyan	19	9	4	6	38:31	7	31
5	Qatar SC	18	8	4	6	29:26	3	28
6	Al Arabi	18	8	4	6	33:34	-1	28
7	Al-Duhail	19	7	6	6	34:22	12	27
8	Al Wakra	19	6	5	8	26:29	-3	23
9	Umm-Salal	19	6	2	11	34:47	-13	20
10	Al Ahli Doha	19	6	1	12	27:39	-12	19
11	Al Sailiya	18	5	3	10	19:29	-10	18
12	Al-Shahaniya	19	5	2	12	19:36	-17	17

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      QSL (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Division 2