Result
3:2
02/01/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | SPOTV Asia |
Australia | Paramount+ |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Go |
Mongolia | SPOTV |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
Philippines | SPOTV |
South-korea | SPOTV |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Thailand | SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Vietnam | SPOTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (404/497) | 76% (297/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (404/497) | 76% (297/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (23/57) | 23% (13/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (144/192) | 62% (48/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 79% (19/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -1.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Ostler T. ⚽, Bozinovski R. (A),
- 17', Roderick ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 42', Ostler T. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 1, D'Arrigo L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', Shamoon C. A. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 1, Velupillay N. ⚽, Mata J. (A),
- 54', Sulemani A. ↓, Taggart A. ↑,
- 54', Ostler T. ↓, Ngo K. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 1, Clarismario ⚽, Mata J. (A),
- 72', Pennington N. 🟨,
- 77', Mata J. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
- 77', Velupillay N. ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
- 77', Pennington N. ↓, Amos L. ↑,
- 78', Bozinovski R. ↓, De Abreu G. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Ngo K. ⚽, Amos L. (A),
- 85', Clarismario ↓, Reec J. ↑,
- 86', Genreau D. ↓, Dragicevic O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory 51.3% | Draw 24.3% | Perth Glory 24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↑ (1.71) |
3.86 ↑ (3.75) |
3.91 ↓ (4.22) |
5.8% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). Perth will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 58.7% – 88.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Perth (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 2 - 50%). Perth (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 5.
- Melbourne Victory is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Perth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Melbourne Victory is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Perth Glory?
Melbourne Victory has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perth Glory won against Melbourne Victory?
Perth Glory has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory were as follows:
31.10.2025
Perth Glory
-
Melbourne Victory
0:2
24.09.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Perth Glory
3:0
01.02.2025
Perth Glory
-
Melbourne Victory
0:2
08.12.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Perth Glory
2:0
31.03.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Perth Glory
2:1
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Perth Glory
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18:9 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Newcastle Jets | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 21 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
| 7 | Adelaide United | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)