Atlético Gloriense vs Lagarto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Sergipano - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 0, Diogo ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Gloriense
30.1%
Draw
31.9%
Lagarto
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23% 27.8% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4% 27.1% 50.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Gloriense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Gloriense's performance.
  • Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lagarto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Gloriense than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Gloriense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lagarto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético Gloriense - Lagarto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (3.96)
    2.86
    (3.28)
    2.4
    (1.85)
    9.7%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Gloriense won 1.
    • Atlético Gloriense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lagarto is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lagarto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lagarto is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético Gloriense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Gloriense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Gloriense - Lagarto were as follows:
    28.01.2024 Lagarto - Atlético Gloriense 2:1
    25.03.2023 Lagarto - Atlético Gloriense 2:0
    19.03.2023 Atlético Gloriense - Lagarto 1:0
    14.01.2023 Atlético Gloriense - Lagarto 0:0
    Latest results of Lagarto
    31.01.2026 Lagarto - Itabaiana 0:0
    25.01.2026 Dorense - Lagarto 1:5
    18.01.2026 Confiança - Lagarto 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sergipe (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)America SE (6)0 : 3
    3Itabaiana (2)Falcon (7)1 : 0
    4Confianca (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sergipe (1)America SE (6)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Itabaiana (2)Confianca (4)0 : 2, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sergipe (1)Confianca (4)

    3rd place
    2Itabaiana (2)America SE (6)