Result
4:2
28/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 7
- Referee: Piccolo L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (245/333) | 70% (201/288) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (245/333) | 70% (201/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (36/82) | 57% (39/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (55/96) | 56% (71/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.22 | -1.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Mambwa O. 🟨,
- 12', Dahler L. 🟨,
- 30', Fernandes E. 🟨,
- 30', Matoshi V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 2)
- 46', Virginius A. ↓, Monteiro J. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 1, Ibayi C. ⚽, Reichmuth N. (A),
- 60', Mambwa O. ↓, Hadjam J. ↑,
- 60', Gigovic A. ↓, Bedia C. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Cordova S. ⚽, Fassnacht C. (A),
- 67', 2 - 1, Bedia C. ⚽, Cordova S. (A),
- 68', Ibayi C. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
- 68', Matoshi V. ↓, Imeri K. ↑,
- 68', Reichmuth N. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Meichtry F. ⚽,
- 75', Dahler L. ↓, Fehr F. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 2, Bedia C. ⚽, Cordova S. (A),
- 85', Raveloson R. ↓, Lauper S. ↑,
- 86', Rastoder E. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
- 89', Heule M. 🟨,
- 90', 4 - 2, Fassnacht C. ⚽, Fernandes E. (A),
- 90+3', Cordova S. ↓, Males D. ↑,
- 90+3', Janko S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Young Boys
52% | Draw
23.1% | Thun
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Young Boys's form might have worsened.Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Young Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Young Boys - Thun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.66) |
4.04 ↓
(4.38) |
3.75 ↓
(4.55) |
6%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Young Boys - Thun?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Young Boys will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Thun will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Young Boys: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 5.
- Young Boys is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Thun's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Young Boys is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Young Boys: Conte F.
(Knee Injury)
Sanches A.
(Knee Injury)
Seiler M.
(Injury)
Wuthrich G.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Thun: Eicher J.
(Injury)
Montolio G.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Young Boys: Virginius A.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Young Boys will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 55:25. (average 2.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Young Boys won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:14. (average 3.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Young Boys won against Thun?
Young Boys has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Young Boys?
Thun has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Young Boys - Thun were as follows:
15.07.2023
Young Boys
-
Thun
4:0
28.02.2023
Thun
-
Young Boys
0:5
14.01.2023
Young Boys
-
Thun
2:0
Latest results of Young Boys
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Basel | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Young Boys | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 5 | Zurich | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sion | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Luzern | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Lugano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Grasshoppers | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Lausanne | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Servette | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10:25 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
