Creighton Blue Jays vs Providence Friars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
76:79
28/02/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Chances of winning


Creighton Blue Jays
61.2%
Providence Friars
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Creighton Blue Jays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Creighton Blue Jays's performance.
  • Providence Friars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Providence Friars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Creighton Blue Jays than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Providence Friars than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Creighton Blue Jays - Providence Friars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.74)

    2.41
    (2.01)
    6.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 166.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Creighton won 2.
    • Creighton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Providence's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Providence may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Creighton won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 1424:1391. (average 71.2:69.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Creighton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 674:623. (average 67.4:62.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Creighton Blue Jays - Providence Friars were as follows:
    16.01.2026 Providence Friars - Creighton Blue Jays 93:88
    05.02.2025 Providence Friars - Creighton Blue Jays 69:80
    14.01.2025 Creighton Blue Jays - Providence Friars 84:64
    14.03.2024 Creighton Blue Jays - Providence Friars 73:78
    07.02.2024 Providence Friars - Creighton Blue Jays 91:87
    Latest results of Providence Friars
    NCAA College Basketball Table
    2025/26

    American Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Tulsa312562666:22440.806
    2South Florida312382739:23730.742
    3Wichita State3121102426:21860.677
    4UAB3220122535:23610.625
    5North Texas3219132257:21350.594
    6Florida Atlantic3318152596:24530.545
    7Tulane3318152389:24930.545
    8Charlotte3317162428:24440.515
    9Temple3216162366:22640.500
    10Rice3113182291:23110.419
    11Memphis3213192407:24540.406
    12East Carolina3111202217:24010.355
    13UTSA Roadrunners305252084:24220.167


    Southeastern
    PlWLPCT
    1Florida322662790:22850.813
    2Vanderbilt312472695:23290.774
    3Arkansas312382797:24790.742
    4Alabama312382856:25910.742
    5Georgia3222102874:25330.688
    6Tennessee3222102554:22140.688
    7Texas A&M3221112807:25460.656
    8Missouri3220122549:24110.625
    9Kentucky3421132746:25100.618
    10Oklahoma3319142734:25390.576
    11Texas3218142681:24580.563
    12Auburn3317162730:26200.515
    13LSU3215172606:25120.469
    14Ole Miss3314192486:24920.424
    15South Carolina3213192398:24470.406
    16Mississippi St3213192484:26180.406


    Big East
    PlWLPCT
    1UConn322842516:20910.875
    2St. John's (N.Y.)322662623:22590.813
    3Villanova322482469:22650.750
    4Seton Hall3221112253:20780.656
    5Butler3216162540:24810.500
    6DePaul3216162248:22260.500
    7Georgetown3316172452:24120.485
    8Creighton3215172404:24010.469
    9Providence3315182815:27720.455
    10Xavier3315182586:26610.455
    11Marquette3212202405:24250.375


    Big Ten
    PlWLPCT
    1Michigan323022812:22080.938
    2Nebraska312652415:20450.839
    3Michigan State312562442:21010.806
    4Illinois322482700:22340.750
    5Purdue322482631:22590.750
    6Wisconsin332492757:25130.727
    7UCLA3222102489:22570.688
    8Iowa3321122482:21770.636
    9Ohio State3321122633:24020.636
    10Indiana3218142501:23090.563
    11USC3218142515:24940.563
    12Washington3316172545:24300.485
    13Minnesota3215172241:21930.469
    14Northwestern3415192487:24470.441
    15Rutgers3314192329:24790.424
    16Oregon3212202267:23660.375
    17Penn State3212202358:25390.375
    18Maryland3312212300:25270.364


    Atlantic Coast
    PlWLPCT
    1Duke323022651:20160.938
    2Virginia332852642:22960.848
    3Miami (FL)322572642:22650.781
    4North Carolina322482553:22820.750
    5Clemson332492460:21960.727
    6Louisville3323102797:23820.697
    7California3221112492:23440.656
    8Stanford3220122431:23260.625
    9NC State3320132762:25250.606
    10SMU Mustangs3320132779:25610.606
    11Virginia Tech3219132521:23960.594
    12Florida State3318152652:25720.545
    13Wake Forest3317162602:25430.515
    14Syracuse3215172400:23760.469
    15Notre Dame3113182308:23350.419
    16Pittsburgh3313202327:23700.394
    17Boston College3111202090:21910.355
    18Georgia Tech3111202287:24000.355


    Big 12
    PlWLPCT
    1Arizona323022768:21850.938
    2Houston322752480:20110.844
    3Iowa State332762701:21330.818
    4Kansas322392449:22210.719
    5Texas Tech3222102573:23240.688
    6Brigham Young3423112853:25610.676
    7TCU3322112584:23780.667
    8UCF Knights3221112591:25110.656
    9Oklahoma State3319142781:27360.576
    10West Virginia3218142214:20720.563
    11Cincinnati3318152413:22300.545
    12Colorado3217152559:25420.531
    13Arizona State3317162519:25850.515
    14Baylor3216162642:24690.500
    15Kansas State3212202546:26190.375
    16Utah Utes3210222379:25310.313


    Missouri Valley
    PlWLPCT
    1Belmont322662684:23470.813
    2Northern Iowa3523122447:21440.657
    3Bradley3321122560:24220.636
    4Illinois State3220122404:21900.625
    5Murray State3220122667:25580.625
    6Illinois (Chi.)3419152567:23790.559
    7Valparaiso3318152376:23580.545
    8Southern Illinois3216162336:22260.500
    9Drake3414202552:25440.412
    10Indiana State3211212354:23830.344
    11Evansville327252143:24470.219


    Conference USA
    PlWLPCT
    1Liberty322572501:22530.781
    2Sam Houston St3322112714:24470.667
    3Kennesaw State3320132763:25270.606
    4Louisiana Tech3320132315:21390.606
    5Western Kentucky3218142537:24360.563
    6New Mexico State3217152405:23010.531
    7Middle Tenn. St3217152414:23290.531
    8Missouri State3416182551:25020.471
    9Jacksonville State3215172325:21880.469
    10Florida International3215172580:24920.469
    11UTEP3111202149:22440.355
    12Delaware3110212098:22930.323


    Ohio Valley
    PlWLPCT
    1Tennessee State322392577:23470.719
    2UT Martin3322112303:20850.667
    3Southeast Missouri State3320132460:23310.606
    4Morehead State3320132484:24660.606
    5Siu Edwardsville3219132271:20700.594
    6Lindenwood3318152566:23980.545
    7Tennessee Tech3113182272:23080.419
    8Eastern Illinois3313202214:23210.394
    9UALR3212202257:23720.375
    10Southern Indiana307232061:22100.233
    11Western Illinois315262011:23810.161


    Atlantic 10
    PlWLPCT
    1St. Louis Billikens322842810:22240.875
    2VCU Rams312472555:22380.774
    3George Mason322392347:21600.719
    4Dayton3222102396:22370.688
    5Saint Josephs Hawks3121102285:21710.677
    6Davidson3220122309:21550.625
    7Duquesne3218142518:24100.563
    8George Washington3318152708:24330.545
    9Fordham3217152235:20950.531
    10St. Bonaventure3417172596:25320.500
    11Rhode Island3216162236:21820.500
    12Richmond Spiders3215172455:23660.469
    13La Salle329232148:23700.281
    14Loyola Chicago339242204:25000.273


    West Coast
    PlWLPCT
    1Gonzaga333032809:21780.909
    2St. Marys (CA)322752502:20660.844
    3Santa Clara342682817:24630.765
    4Seattle3320132373:22110.606
    5Pacific3318152399:22710.545
    6San Francisco3317162464:24140.515
    7Oregon State3317162347:24470.515
    8Loyola Marymount3215172376:23060.469
    9Portland3415192530:26690.441
    10Washington State3212202435:24800.375
    11San Diego Toreros3312212458:25700.364
    12Pepperdine329232312:25460.281


    Big West
    PlWLPCT
    1Hawaii302282399:21040.733
    2UC Irvine3222102475:21780.688
    3UC San Diego3423112573:23900.676
    4CS Northridge3320132689:26200.606
    5UC Davis3319142562:24780.576
    6UC Santa Barbara3218142483:23280.563
    7CS Fullerton3318152759:27000.545
    8Cal Poly3314192710:28050.424
    9Long Beach State3210222396:24890.313
    10UC Riverside3210222334:24920.313
    11CSU Bakersfield328242339:26290.250


    Ivy League
    PlWLPCT
    1Yale282352281:19650.821
    2Harvard2817111972:18720.607
    3Penn2716112057:19820.593
    4Columbia2816122146:20070.571
    5Cornell2715122401:22470.556
    6Dartmouth2711162047:20710.407
    7Brown279181900:18920.333
    8Princeton299201989:20870.310


    Western Athletic
    PlWLPCT
    1Utah Valley State312472518:21310.774
    2California Baptist312382261:20970.742
    3UT Arlington3118132175:20670.581
    4Utah Tech3319142540:24620.576
    5Tarleton3214182385:23490.438
    6Abilene Christian3314192321:23890.424
    7Southern Utah3210222442:25440.313


    Summit League
    PlWLPCT
    1North Dakota St342772745:23660.794
    2St. Thomas (Minn.)332492728:23660.727
    3North Dakota3518172680:27050.514
    4South Dakota Coyotes3216162547:25660.500
    5Nebraska O3316172507:25220.485
    6Denver3215172650:26500.469
    7South Dakota St3214182413:23310.438
    8Oral Roberts3310232420:25580.303
    9UMKC314272149:26000.129


    Big Sky
    PlWLPCT
    1Portland State3120112376:21790.645
    2Northern Colorado3220122640:24490.625
    3Idaho3521142753:25400.600
    4Montana State3218142493:22850.563
    5Montana3418162627:25350.529
    6Weber State3216162598:24740.500
    7East. Washington3314192576:26060.424
    8Idaho State3313202459:25130.394
    9Sacramento State3110212408:25420.323
    10Northern Arizona3210222282:24450.313


    Metro Atlantic Athletic
    PlWLPCT
    1Siena3423112398:22330.676
    2Merrimack Warriors3423112330:22600.676
    3Fairfield3421132528:24320.618
    4Marist3119122160:19790.613
    5Quinnipiac3219132411:23030.594
    6St. Peters2917122054:19840.586
    7Iona3218142363:23400.563
    8Mount St. Mary's3215172178:22440.469
    9Sacred Heart3314192482:25280.424
    10Manhattan3212202369:25260.375
    11Canisius3110211951:21840.323
    12Niagara308221916:21370.267
    13Rider294251840:22040.138


    Patriot League
    PlWLPCT
    1Navy332672465:21050.788
    2Colgate3318152522:24620.545
    3Lehigh3418162490:25150.529
    4American University3216162387:22830.500
    5Boston University3417172566:25140.500
    6Loyola Maryland3211212396:24770.344
    7Lafayette3211212222:23810.344
    8Army3211212309:24710.344
    9Holy Cross3411232310:25100.324
    10Bucknell3310232223:25180.303


    Northeast
    PlWLPCT
    1LIU Sharks3424102519:24180.706
    2Central Connecticut State3018122215:21270.600
    3Mercyhurst Lakers3417172357:22910.500
    4Le Moyne3215172336:23410.469
    5Wagner3114172210:22220.452
    6New Haven Chargers3114172013:20550.452
    7Stonehill3313202202:22520.394
    8Fairleigh Dickinson3211212150:22450.344
    9St. Francis (PA)317242216:25100.226
    10Chicago State327252105:24340.219


    Horizon League
    PlWLPCT
    1Robert Morris3322112555:23790.667
    2Wright State3422122712:25300.647
    3Northern Kentucky3420142827:26340.588
    4Wisc. Green Bay3318152469:24700.545
    5IPFW3217152499:24670.531
    6Detroit3217152471:24750.531
    7Oakland3216162642:26120.500
    8Youngstown State3215172495:23380.469
    9Wisc. Milwaukee3212202440:25480.375
    10Cleveland State3312212638:28290.364
    11IU Indy327252673:28250.219


    Mid-Eastern Athletic
    PlWLPCT
    1Howard3121102408:21120.677
    2Norfolk State3215172445:23620.469
    3Morgan State3014162258:23470.467
    4N. Carolina Central3013172177:22920.433
    5South Carolina St3110212086:24440.323
    6Md.-East. Shore329232060:22650.281
    7Delaware State308221843:21260.267
    8Coppin State318232042:24830.258


    Sun Belt
    PlWLPCT
    1Troy3322112649:24120.667
    2Arkansas State3220122655:24710.625
    3Appalachian State3219132305:21140.594
    4South Alabama3219132375:22460.594
    5Marshall3219132596:24970.594
    6Texas State3219132365:22710.594
    7Coastal Carolina3219132346:23230.594
    8Georgia Southern3721162994:29490.568
    9James Madison3318152460:24370.545
    10Southern Miss3519162615:25850.543
    11Old Dominion3312212514:25700.364
    12Louisiana Lafayette3311222101:23320.333
    13Georgia State3210222253:23910.313
    14Louisiana Monroe324282318:26850.125


    Southland
    PlWLPCT
    1McNeese State332852641:21930.848
    2Stephen F. Austin332852520:21760.848
    3UTRGV3118132343:21470.581
    4Texas A&M-CC3318152393:22340.545
    5New Orleans3416182574:26360.471
    6Nicholls State3314192388:24710.424
    7Lamar3112192167:21430.387
    8Incarnate Word3112192302:22850.387
    9Houston Christian3212202147:23090.375
    10East Texas A&M3211212246:23850.344
    11Northwestern St3210222185:23170.313
    12SE Louisiana319222016:21840.290


    Big South
    PlWLPCT
    1High Point343043059:23890.882
    2Winthrop3423112844:25660.676
    3Radford3217152637:24900.531
    4Longwood3216162486:23700.500
    5Charleston Southern3215172670:25630.469
    6UNC Asheville3215172349:23340.469
    7Presbyterian3314192360:24100.424
    8USC Upstate3213192376:23570.406
    9Gardner Webb334292248:28200.121


    Southern
    PlWLPCT
    1East Tennessee St3423112638:23560.676
    2Furman3422122600:23970.647
    3Mercer3219132646:24160.594
    4Wofford3219132520:24680.594
    5Samford3218142525:24090.563
    6Western Carolina3115162432:23970.484
    7NC Greensboro3415192673:27360.441
    8Chattanooga Mocs3213192454:24080.406
    9Citadel3312212350:25300.364
    10VMI326262303:25600.188


    Mid-American
    PlWLPCT
    1Miami (Ohio)323112902:24090.969
    2Akron322752850:23550.844
    3Kent State322392733:25600.719
    4Bowling Green3218142602:22900.563
    5Toledo3218142601:24570.563
    6UMass3217152581:24850.531
    7Buffalo3217152497:24370.531
    8Ohio3215172492:25150.469
    9Ball State3112192093:21540.387
    10Eastern Michigan3110212191:22790.323
    11Central Michigan3110212275:23840.323
    12Western Michigan3110212318:24640.323
    13Northern Illinois309212086:23340.300


    America East
    PlWLPCT
    1UMBC Retrievers312382374:20850.742
    2Vermont3322112437:22560.667
    3NJIT3316172212:24170.485
    4UMass Lowell3315182471:25180.455
    5Albany Great Danes3211212303:23410.344
    6New Hampshire Wildcats309212076:22380.300
    7Bryant University319222010:22460.290
    8Binghamton318232105:23210.258
    9Maine Black Bears328242001:21900.250


    Mountain West
    PlWLPCT
    1Utah State322662654:22640.813
    2New Mexico322392596:22730.719
    3San Diego State3121102454:22070.677
    4Nevada3322112516:23550.667
    5Colorado State3321122510:23470.636
    6Grand Canyon3220122420:21970.625
    7Boise State3220122502:23510.625
    8Wyoming3218142467:23350.563
    9UNLV3317162620:25930.515
    10Fresno State3213192331:23300.406
    11San Jose State339242376:25910.273
    12Air Force323291969:25560.094


    ASUN
    PlWLPCT
    1Austin Peay312292530:22690.710
    2Central Arkansas3422122749:25410.647
    3Queens Royals3421132886:28200.618
    4Lipscomb3219132548:24230.594
    5Florida Gulf Coast3416182631:25980.471
    6West Georgia3215172450:25460.469
    7Bellarmine3213192561:26140.406
    8Jacksonville Dolphins3212202339:23490.375
    9Stetson3312212431:26310.364
    10Eastern Kentucky3211212568:26190.344
    11North Alabama309212082:23280.300
    12North Florida327252547:28210.219


    Southwestern Athletic
    PlWLPCT
    1Alabama A&M3318152378:23930.545
    2Bethune-Cookman3217152412:24620.531
    3Prairie View A&M3417172689:25960.500
    4Southern Univ3216162568:25080.500
    5Florida A&M2914152020:21620.483
    6Grambling St3314192321:23140.424
    7Arkansas-Pine Bluff3213192472:25930.406
    8Texas Southern3012182251:23390.400
    9Jackson State3312212318:27640.364
    10Alabama State3210222341:24730.313
    11Alcorn State329232141:25660.281
    12Miss. Valley St333302120:27390.091


    Coastal Athletic Association
    PlWLPCT
    1NC Wilmington322662465:21660.813
    2Hofstra3424102571:22460.706
    3Charleston3221112413:23480.656
    4William & Mary3220122660:24870.625
    5Towson3419152354:22480.559
    6Monmouth3419152471:24090.559
    7Stony Brook3217152295:22770.531
    8Drexel3317162247:22210.515
    9Campbell3416182691:26390.471
    10Elon3214182500:24920.438
    11Hampton3213192237:22640.406
    12N. Carolina A&T3011192252:23350.367
    13Northeastern317242322:25100.226