Borneo Samarinda vs Arema – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
26/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
53
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
610
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
17
Corner kicks
45
Offsides
00
Free kicks
122
Throw ins
1325
Fouls
315

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Caxambu , Anez M. (A),
  • 26', 2 - 0, Villa J. ,
  • 36', Guntara L. 🟨,
  • 42', 3 - 0, Villa J. , Peralta M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Guevara J. , Hariono J. ,
  • 46', Guntara L. , Farisi A. ,
  • 46', Fikri A. , Gustavo Franca ,
  • 46', Obieta K. , Cleylton ,
  • 46', Buffon A. , Khanafi M. ,
  • 62', Walisson Maia , Pablo Oliveira ,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Dalberto , Gustavo Franca (A),
  • 79', Khanafi M. 🟨,
  • 82', Khanafi M. , Sihran M. ,
  • 90', Villa J. , Astina M. ,
  • 90+3', Matheus Blade 🟨,
  • 90+4', Nduwarugira C. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Peralta M. , Zikrak I. ,

Chances of winning


Borneo Samarinda
52.7%
Draw
24%
Arema
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 24.6% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 25.2% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borneo Samarinda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arema than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Borneo Samarinda - Arema Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.81)
    3.81
    (3.77)
    3.92
    (3.84)
    9.3%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Borneo Samarinda - Arema?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Borneo (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Borneo Samarinda will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 3.
    • Recent performances by Borneo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arema is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Borneo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Borneo has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Borneo is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borneo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borneo Samarinda - Arema were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Arema - Borneo Samarinda 1:3
    19.01.2025 Borneo Samarinda - Arema 3:1
    17.08.2024 Arema - Borneo Samarinda 0:2
    04.08.2024 Borneo Samarinda - Arema 1:2
    21.04.2024 Borneo Samarinda - Arema 1:2
    Latest results of Borneo Samarinda
    Latest results of Arema
    21.02.2026 Madura United - Arema 2:2
    15.02.2026 Arema - Semen Padang 3:0
    08.02.2026 Persija Jakarta - Arema 0:2
    02.02.2026 Arema - Persijap Jepara 1:0
    26.01.2026 Dewa United - Arema 2:0