Arronches Benfica vs Sertanense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Arronches Benfica
57.8%
Draw
29.5%
Sertanense
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 22.8% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8% 21.8% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arronches Benfica's form might have worsened.
  • Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arronches Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Arronches Benfica - Sertanense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.41)
    3.13
    (4)
    7.24
    (7.27)
    8.5%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • Arronches Benfica in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Sertanense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Arronches Benfica is absolute favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Arronches Benfica to win the game is with odds 1.37.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Arronches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arronches Benfica - Sertanense were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Sertanense - Arronches Benfica 0:0
    15.01.2023 Sertanense - Arronches Benfica 0:1
    Latest results of Arronches Benfica
    Latest results of Sertanense
    02.03.2025 Sertanense - Elvas 0:0
    23.02.2025 Fatima - Sertanense 1:1
    16.02.2025 Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro 1:0
    09.02.2025 Alverca B - Sertanense 1:1
    02.02.2025 Pombal - Sertanense 0:2
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache ✔ 25167233:102355
    2Oliveira Hospital25138436:132347
    3SB Castelo Branco25144742:222046
    4Naval 189325136634:231145
    5Uniao Da Serra25128536:231344
    6Os Marialvas25106933:27636
    7Mortagua25106921:25-436
    8Fatima25781023:28-529
    9Lajense25781036:37-129
    10Peniche25761229:42-1327
    11Samora Correia25751323:33-1026
    12Marinhense ✔ 25591120:35-1524
    13Electrico ✔ 25541632:60-2819
    14SC Lusitania ✔ 25451623:43-2017

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
    Marinhense is Relegated to
    Electrico is Relegated to
    SC Lusitania is Relegated to