Náutico Capibaribe vs Santa Cruz Recife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano Náutico Capibaribe - Santa Cruz Recife
Result
2:1
25/01/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 4

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', Sousa 🟨,
  • 11', Otusanya O. 🟨,
  • 11', Matheus Vinicius 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Patrick Allan ,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Thiaguinho ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sousa , Wenderson ,
  • 46', Otusanya O. , Bruno Mezenga ,
  • 58', Thiago Henrique 🟨,
  • 67', Matheus Melo , Henrique Lordelo ,
  • 69', Marco Antonio , Helio Borges ,
  • 73', Joao Pedro , Gilvan ,
  • 73', Thiaguinho , Jhonatan Ribeiro ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Paulo Sergio ,
  • 87', Luiz Paulo , Igor Fernandes ,
  • 90+1', Lucas Siqueira , Everton Felipe ,
  • 90+1', Wagner Balotelli , Douglas Skilo ,
  • 90+1', Paulo Sergio , Fagner Alemao ,
  • 90+3', Wellerson R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
42.8%
Draw
30.8%
Santa Cruz Recife
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 28.2% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 27.4% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náutico Capibaribe's form might have worsened.
  • Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Santa Cruz Recife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.85)
    2.96
    (3.2)
    3.46
    (3.95)
    9.6%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Santa Cruz Recife were as follows:
    27.01.2024 Santa Cruz Recife - Náutico Capibaribe 1:2
    15.01.2023 Santa Cruz Recife - Náutico Capibaribe 3:3
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Santa Cruz Recife
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Bye
    2Sport Recife (4)Decisao (5)3 : 0
    3Maguary (2)Bye
    4Nautico (3)Retro (6)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Sport Recife (4)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Maguary (2)Retro (6)1 : 2, 1 : 2

    Final
    1Sport Recife (4)Retro (6)2 : 2, 3 : 2