Result
2:1
09/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 8
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 82', 0 - 1, Stevens J. ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Turner D. ⚽,
- 90+5', Daniel C. 🟥,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, McHale D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hednesford Town
45.8% | Draw
27.4% | Ilkeston
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hednesford Town's form might have worsened.Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hednesford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Hednesford Town - Ilkeston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.73) |
3.33 ↓
(3.62) |
3.4 ↓
(4.01) |
9.7%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 13).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Hednesford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Hednesford could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hednesford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hednesford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hednesford Town won against Ilkeston?
Hednesford Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilkeston won against Hednesford Town?
Ilkeston has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hednesford Town - Ilkeston were as follows:
08.04.2023
Ilkeston
-
Hednesford Town
4:1
28.02.2023
Hednesford Town
-
Ilkeston
2:2
Latest results of Hednesford Town
Latest results of Ilkeston
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC United | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Lancaster | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Gainsborough | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Hednesford | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockton | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Rushall | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Leek | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Ashton Utd | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 | Bamber Bridge | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Whitby | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Prescot | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Ilkeston | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Cleethorpes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Hebburn Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 | Hyde | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Warrington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 19 | Workington | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:15 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
