Result
2:6
11/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Disney+, Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10.53% (2/19) | 24% (6/25) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 82.61% (19/23) | 89.47% (17/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 37 | 20 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 64.91 | 35.09 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 00:23, 0 - 1, Luostarinen E. (G), Samoskevich M. (A),
- 05:32, 0 - 2, Reinhardt C. (G), Sebrango D. (A), Hinostroza V. (A2)
- 05:32, (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 01:32, 0 - 3, Nosek T. (G), Alscher M. (A),
- 10:34, Foote N. (2 min),
- 10:55, 1 - 3, Nylander W. (G), Tavares J. (A), Cowan E. (A2)
- 13:16, 2 - 3, Nylander W. (G),
- 3rd Period (0 - 3)
- 04:13, 2 - 4, Samoskevich M. (G), Greer A.J. (A), Luostarinen E. (A2)
- 15:56, 2 - 5, Greer A.J. (G), Luostarinen E. (A), Samoskevich M. (A2)
- 18:07, 2 - 6, Nosek T. (G), Gregor N. (A),
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs
43.4% | Draw
22.3% | Florida Panthers
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Florida Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toronto Maple Leafs that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Panthers than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Florida Panthers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toronto Maple Leafs - Florida Panthers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.44) |
4.24 ↑
(4.18) |
2.73 ↑
(2.44) |
5.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Florida Panthers?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Florida will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Matthews A.
(Knee Injury)
Stolarz A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Tanev C.
(Abdominal strain)
- There will not play in Florida: Balinskis U.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Barkov A.
(Knee Injury)
Ekblad A.
(Finger Injury)
Gadjovich J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Jones S.
(Foot Injury)
Kulikov D.
(Finger Injury)
Lundell A.
(Ribs Injury)
Marchand B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mikkola N.
(Knee Injury)
Reinhart S.
(Foot Injury)
Rodrigues E.
(Finger Injury)
Tkachuk M.
(Personal Reasons)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 47:64. (average 2.4:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 2.9:3.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Florida Panthers?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 11 of their last 27 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Florida Panthers won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Florida Panthers has won 16 of their last 27 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Florida Panthers were as follows:
26.02.2026
Florida Panthers
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:1
06.01.2026
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Florida Panthers
4:1
02.12.2025
Florida Panthers
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
1:4
18.05.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Florida Panthers
1:6
16.05.2025
Florida Panthers
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
0:2
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of Florida Panthers
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 2 : 4 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
