Result
2:0
06/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Catarinense - Relegation Group - Round 6
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Yalle 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Roldan ⚽,
- 28', Rickson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Yalle ↓, Keke ↑,
- 46', Jean Mineiro ↓, Erick Crispim ↑,
- 61', Alyson 🟨,
- 64', Roldan ↓, Guilherme Kante ↑,
- 69', Victor Oliveira 🟨,
- 70', Lucas Batatinha ↓, Jose Carlos ↑,
- 70', Kaique Maciel ↓, Felipe Cruz ↑,
- 81', Klock J. ↓, Fernando Neto ↑,
- 84', 2 - 0, Cesinha ⚽,
Chances of winning
Náutico Marcílio Dias
76.4% | Draw
16.4% | Joinville
7.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Marcílio Dias's performance.Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joinville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-20.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Marcílio Dias that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joinville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.21 ↓
(1.69) |
5.65 ↑
(3.68) |
12.87 ↑
(4.72) |
7.9%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Joinville is Relegated to Catarinense 2
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 2.
- Marcílio Dias is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Joinville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Marcílio Dias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marcílio Dias is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marcílio Dias won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Marcílio Dias won against Joinville?
Náutico Marcílio Dias has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joinville won against Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Joinville has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville were as follows:
03.02.2026
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:4
06.07.2025
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
1:1
10.05.2025
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Joinville
1:0
06.02.2025
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
1:1
29.09.2024
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:2
Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
Latest results of Joinville
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Concordia | Brusque | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Criciuma | Chapecoense-SC | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Barra FC | Santa Catarina | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Camboriu | Avai | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Brusque | Chapecoense-SC | 0 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Barra FC | Camboriu | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Chapecoense-SC | Barra FC | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
