Result
1:1
06/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Marquinhos Brazion ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', 1 - 1, Jefferson Vinicius ⚽,
Chances of winning
Joinville
44.5% | Draw
30.5% | Náutico Marcílio Dias
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joinville's performance.Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Marcílio Dias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joinville that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Marcílio Dias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.33) |
2.96 ↓
(3.2) |
3.6 ↑
(2.7) |
11%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Joinville (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Joinville might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Joinville won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Joinville won against Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Joinville has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Marcílio Dias won against Joinville?
Náutico Marcílio Dias has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
10.05.2025
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Joinville
1:0
06.02.2025
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
1:1
29.09.2024
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:2
20.01.2024
Joinville
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:3
10.09.2023
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Joinville
2:1
Latest results of Joinville
Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Manauara | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:7 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Independencia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 | Manaus | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Aguia De Maraba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Trem | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | GAS | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | Humaita | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11:41 | -30 | 4 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santa Cruz ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Central SC ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | America RN | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:8 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Ferroviario | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 13 |
| 6 | Treze PB | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6:15 | -9 | 13 |
| 7 | Sousa | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Horizonte | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA ✔ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | Lagarto | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Sergipe | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Juazeirense | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 18 |
| 5 | Jequie | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Uniao Carmolandense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Barcelona | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 8 | SC Penedense | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aparecidense ✔ | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 30:11 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Ceilandia ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Luverdense | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 21 |
| 4 | Mixto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Capital | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Goiania | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 7 | Goianesia | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 7 |
| 8 | Porto Velho | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9:24 | -15 | 7 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Limeira ✔ | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Goiatuba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Cascavel | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 17 |
| 4 | Uberlandia | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Cianorte | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Monte Azul | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
| 7 | Operario MS | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 11 |
| 8 | Itabirito | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 10 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barra FC ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Joinville | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | EC Sao Jose | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Marcilio Dias | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sao Luiz | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 12 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bage | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Azuriz | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | Brasil de Pelotas | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Central SC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Ceilandia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Barra FC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
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