Result
2:0
01/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Chile - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (454/535) | 72% (211/292) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (454/535) | 72% (211/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (104/143) | 57% (45/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 81% (22/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Morales Olivares M. G. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Sosa G. (Pen),
- 45+1', Calderon P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Bosso Torres O. 🟨,
- 64', Caca ↓, Graciani G. ↑,
- 65', Valenzuela C. ↓, Neira E. ↑,
- 65', Abarca Antil F. A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 0, Sosa G. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
- 74', Calderon P. ↓, Labrin C. ↑,
- 77', Cezar F. ↓, Lezcano G. ↑,
- 77', Morales Olivares M. G. ↓, Espinola M. ↑,
- 83', Plaza M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 83', Sosa G. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
- 83', Mateos F. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
- 87', Gonzalez M. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ñublense
61.2% | Draw
22.4% | Deportes Magallanes
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ñublense's performance.Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.67) |
4.1 ↑
(3.67) |
5.6 ↑
(4.91) |
7.1%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Magallanes will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ñublense: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Ñublense is the team to beat.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 2.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Deportes Magallanes?
Ñublense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Magallanes won against Ñublense?
Deportes Magallanes has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes were as follows:
07.06.2025
Deportes Magallanes
-
Ñublense
1:1
17.11.2024
Deportes Magallanes
-
Ñublense
1:1
13.11.2024
Ñublense
-
Deportes Magallanes
2:1
16.07.2023
Deportes Magallanes
-
Ñublense
1:1
27.01.2023
Ñublense
-
Deportes Magallanes
3:2
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Deportes Magallanes
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Limache | Cobreloa | 3 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Union La Calera | Coquimbo | 1 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Antofagasta | S. Wanderers | 2 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 4 | La Serena | San Luis | 4 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | Curico Unido | 2 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | A. Italiano | Deportes Temuco | 2 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Nublense | Magallanes | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Huachipato | D. Concepcion | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Limache | Coquimbo | 3 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | La Serena | 1 : 5, 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Curico Unido | A. Italiano | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Nublense | Huachipato | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Limache | La Serena | |
| 2 | A. Italiano | Huachipato | |
