Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 22:06 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Santander Aguirre L. E. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX+, FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (195/259) | 89% (567/640) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (195/259) | 89% (567/640) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (26/45) | 52% (23/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (51/80) | 73% (137/188) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 55 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 29', Azuaje A. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Arciga R. ⚽, Castaneda K. (A),
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Juninho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 61', Blanco D. ↓, Boya F. ↑,
- 64', Medina A. ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
- 64', Carrillo J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 79', Arciga R. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
- 86', Angulo A. ↓, Duarte R. ↑,
- 88', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tijuana
43.5% | Draw
26.4% | UNAM
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Tijuana - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.98) |
3.52 ↑
(3.35) |
3.11 ↓
(3.45) |
6.8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tijuana - UNAM?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). UNAM will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tijuana: 30.4% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 1.
- Tijuana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- UNAM is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in UNAM: Bennevendo P.
(Thigh Injury)
Macias J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Tijuana: Boya F.
(Injury)
Mora G.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Trigos S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against UNAM?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Tijuana?
UNAM has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - UNAM were as follows:
02.11.2025
UNAM
-
Tijuana
4:1
25.02.2025
Tijuana
-
UNAM
4:2
22.09.2024
UNAM
-
Tijuana
1:0
10.03.2024
UNAM
-
Tijuana
3:3
30.06.2023
Tijuana
-
UNAM
2:3
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
