UC Davis Aggies vs Cal Poly Mustangs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
67:58
07/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Chances of winning


UC Davis Aggies
67.2%
Cal Poly Mustangs
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.3% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UC Davis Aggies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Cal Poly Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UC Davis Aggies than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.34)

    2.87
    (2.89)
    5.8%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 169.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UC Davis won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, UC Davis is the team to beat.
    • We predict that UC Davis will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UC Davis won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1342:1189. (average 67.1:59.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UC Davis won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 639:539. (average 63.9:53.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies 84:78
    12.03.2025 UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs 76:86
    16.01.2025 Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies 54:65
    05.12.2024 UC Davis Aggies - Cal Poly Mustangs 77:66
    03.02.2024 Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies 52:59
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/64-finals
    1DukeBye
    2ByeSiena
    3Ohio StateBye
    4ByeTCU
    5St. John's (N.Y.)Bye
    6ByeNorthern Iowa
    7KansasBye
    8ByeCalifornia Baptist
    9LouisvilleBye
    10ByeSouth Florida
    11Michigan StateBye
    12ByeNorth Dakota St
    13UCLABye
    14ByeUCF Knights
    15UConnBye
    16ByeFurman
    17FloridaBye
    18SMU MustangsMiami (Ohio)
    19ClemsonBye
    20ByeIowa
    21VanderbiltBye
    22ByeMcNeese State
    23NebraskaBye
    24ByeTroy
    25North CarolinaBye
    26ByeVCU Rams
    27IllinoisBye
    28ByePenn
    29St. Marys (CA)Bye
    30ByeTexas A&M
    31HoustonBye
    32ByeIdaho
    33ArizonaBye
    34ByeLIU Sharks
    35VillanovaBye
    36ByeUtah State
    37WisconsinBye
    38ByeHigh Point
    39ArkansasBye
    40ByeHawaii
    41Brigham YoungBye
    42NC StateTexas66 : 68
    43GonzagaBye
    44ByeKennesaw State
    45Miami (FL)Bye
    46ByeMissouri
    47PurdueBye
    48ByeQueens Royals
    49MichiganBye
    50HowardUMBC Retrievers86 : 83
    51GeorgiaBye
    52ByeSt. Louis Billikens
    53Texas TechBye
    54ByeAkron
    55AlabamaBye
    56ByeHofstra
    57TennesseeBye
    58LehighPrairie View A&M
    59VirginiaBye
    60ByeWright State
    61KentuckyBye
    62ByeSanta Clara
    63Iowa StateBye
    64ByeTennessee State

    1/32-finals
    1DukeSiena
    2Ohio StateTCU
    3St. John's (N.Y.)Northern Iowa
    4KansasCalifornia Baptist
    5LouisvilleSouth Florida
    6Michigan StateNorth Dakota St
    7UCLAUCF Knights
    8UConnFurman
    9FloridaTBD #18
    10ClemsonIowa
    11VanderbiltMcNeese State
    12NebraskaTroy
    13North CarolinaVCU Rams
    14IllinoisPenn
    15St. Marys (CA)Texas A&M
    16HoustonIdaho
    17ArizonaLIU Sharks
    18VillanovaUtah State
    19WisconsinHigh Point
    20ArkansasHawaii
    21Brigham YoungTexas
    22GonzagaKennesaw State
    23Miami (FL)Missouri
    24PurdueQueens Royals
    25MichiganHoward
    26GeorgiaSt. Louis Billikens
    27Texas TechAkron
    28AlabamaHofstra
    29TennesseeTBD #58
    30VirginiaWright State
    31KentuckySanta Clara
    32Iowa StateTennessee State

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2