Result
1:1
16/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (214/299) | 79% (393/500) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (214/299) | 79% (393/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 37% (25/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (45/86) | 59% (70/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Palmer A. 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Hepple B. ⚽,
- 43', Hack E. ↓, Goddard A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Edwards M. ↓, Ferguson A. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Primus A. ⚽, Goddard A. (A),
- 69', Palmer A. ↓, Bashford M. ↑,
- 70', Collett M. ↓, Mott M. ↑,
- 81', Blake H. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
- 86', Brazil E. ↓, Tucker R. ↑,
- 90', Pritchard P. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
- 90+3', Peplow C. ↓, Akpan A. ↑,
- 90+8', Briggs L. ↓, Robson S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Southampton
48.4% | Draw
26.5% | Durham
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Durham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southampton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durham than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Southampton - Durham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.7) |
3.46 ↓
(3.52) |
3.65 ↓
(4.32) |
9%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Southampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Southampton has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Southampton is a strong favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Southampton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Durham?
Southampton has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Durham won against Southampton?
Durham has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Durham were as follows:
26.01.2025
Durham
-
Southampton
1:0
10.11.2024
Southampton
-
Durham
1:1
17.12.2023
Durham
-
Southampton
1:0
15.10.2023
Southampton
-
Durham
2:1
19.03.2023
Southampton
-
Durham
0:1
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