Result
1:2
01/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 19
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 2.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (413/511) | 68% (203/298) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 2.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 50 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (413/511) | 68% (203/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/64) | 31% (20/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (156/205) | 57% (56/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 63% (15/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Stepinski M. ⚽, Svetlin T. (A),
- 44', Rajovic M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Urbanski K. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
- 56', Stojanovic P. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
- 64', Remacle M. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
- 64', Antonin ↓, Blanik D. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Kapustka B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 83', Jedrzejczyk A. ↓, Kun P. ↑,
- 83', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Stepinski M. ⚽, Resta P. (A),
- 90+2', Stepinski M. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
- 90+2', Kapustka B. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 90+2', Dlugosz W. ↓, Nono ↑,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
50.9% | Draw
26.9% | Korona Kielce
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.77) |
3.52 ↑
(3.48) |
4.24 ↓
(4.42) |
6.5%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
- Legia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Korona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Legia: Nsame J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Korona: Davidovic S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Legia: Vinagre R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:21. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Korona Kielce?
Legia Warsaw has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Legia Warsaw?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce were as follows:
27.07.2025
Korona Kielce
-
Legia Warsaw
0:2
02.02.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Korona Kielce
1:1
28.07.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Legia Warsaw
0:1
25.02.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Legia Warsaw
3:3
06.12.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Legia Warsaw
2:1
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
