Korona Kielce vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw
Result
0:2
27/07/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 2
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.51
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
137
Passes
81% (312/387)80% (290/364)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.491.52
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
93
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
137
Touches in opposition box
2523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
158
Passes
81% (312/387)80% (290/364)
Long passes
45% (19/42)43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
63% (71/112)73% (66/91)
Crosses
22% (8/36)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.95
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
815
Tackles
82% (9/11)81% (13/16)
Duels won
5644
Clearances
2546
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.520.49
Goals prevented
-0.480.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Nsame J. , Alfarela M. (A),
  • 31', Morishita R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Jedrzejczyk A. , Ziolkowski J. ,
  • 47', 0 - 2, Alfarela M. , Bichakhchyan V. (A),
  • 57', Zwozny H. , Davidovic S. ,
  • 63', Morishita R. , Urbanski W. ,
  • 63', Nsame J. , Rajovic M. ,
  • 75', Blanik D. , Antonin ,
  • 75', Remacle M. , Strzebonski M. ,
  • 78', Bichakhchyan V. , Stojanovic P. ,
  • 81', Svetlin T. , Minuczyc K. ,
  • 81', Niski N. , Ciszek K. ,
  • 86', Goncalves C. , Kapustka B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Korona Kielce
24%
Draw
26.2%
Legia Warsaw
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 29.2% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Legia Warsaw's recent form is better than expected.
  • Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.91
    (3.5)
    3.59
    (3.2)
    1.89
    (2.12)
    6.4%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.31%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 1.
    • Recent form of Korona has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Legia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Korona: Budnicki J. (Red Card) Popov V. (Inactive) Resta P. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce 1:1
    28.07.2024 Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw 0:1
    25.02.2024 Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw 3:3
    06.12.2023 Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw 2:1
    20.08.2023 Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce 1:0
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    20.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice Postponed
    17.07.2025 Aktobe - Legia Warsaw 0:1
    10.07.2025 Legia Warsaw - Aktobe 1:0
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock751110:4616
    2Gornik Zabrze850311:5615
    3Cracovia742113:9414
    4Korona Kielce842211:7414
    5Jagiellonia641113:10313
    6Legia631210:5510
    7Widzew Lodz831411:9210
    8Lech Poznan631211:12-110
    9Pogon Szczecin831411:14-310
    10Zaglebie723214:1139
    11Termalica B-B823311:1109
    12Motor Lublin72327:10-39
    13Radomiak Radom822414:16-28
    14Arka Gdynia82245:10-58
    15GKS Katowice821510:17-77
    16Rakow62046:10-46
    17Piast Gliwice60423:6-34
    18Lechia Gdansk822414:19-53

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1