Atlético Goianiense vs Vila Nova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia).

Serie B Superbet - Round 33
Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.69
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
16	10
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	2
Passes
79% (220/277)	80% (247/307)
Yellow Cards
4	6
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.56	0.96
Total shots
16	10
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
8	5
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
7	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	2
Touches in opposition box
15	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
20	11
Passes
79% (220/277)	80% (247/307)
Long passes
43% (20/46)	32% (11/34)
Passes in final third
55% (37/67)	67% (59/88)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.37	0.66
Throw-ins
31	23
Fouls
11	20
Tackles
38% (5/13)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
49	43
Clearances
23	22
Interceptions
3	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.96	0.56
Goals prevented
0.96	-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Pedro Romano 🟨,
44', Tito 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dudu Marques ↓, Jean Dias ↑,
56', Lele ↓, Maranhao ↑,
63', Andre Luis ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Yuri Alves ⚽,
68', Robert Conceicao ↓, Ariel ↑,
68', Martinez F. ↓, Valdir Junior ↑,
72', Ralf ↓, Dodo ↑,
72', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
76', Willian Formiga 🟨,
79', Guilherme Romao 🟨,
80', Elias 🟨,
80', Bruno Mendes 🟨,
80', Vitor P. 🟨,
80', Ariel 🟨,
80', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
82', Guilherme Parede ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,
82', Igor Henrique ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
83', Yuri Alves ↓, Kelvin ↑,
90+1', Vinicius Paiva 🟨,

Chances of winning

Atlético Goianiense
44.6%

Draw
32.6%

Vila Nova
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29.5%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

28.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2)	2.88 ↓ (3.15)	4.1 ↑ (3.85)	6.3% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Atlético Goianiense will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Vila Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlético GO is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Atlético GO: Dudu Marques (Injury) Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Vila Nova: Arilson (Inactive) Miticov (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Goianiense won against Vila Nova?

Atlético Goianiense has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Atlético Goianiense?

Vila Nova has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova were as follows:

26.01.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova 1:3

07.04.2024 Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova 3:1

31.03.2024 Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense 0:2

28.01.2024 Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense 2:1

28.10.2023 Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense 2:1

Latest results of Atlético Goianiense

13.10.2025 Volta Redonda - Atlético Goianiense 3:0 ✺

09.10.2025 Coritiba - Atlético Goianiense 2:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense 3:0 ✺

30.09.2025 Goiás - Atlético Goianiense 0:0 ✺

25.09.2025 Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Vila Nova

12.10.2025 Vila Nova - Amazonas 1:0 ✺

08.10.2025 América Mineiro - Vila Nova 1:1 ✺

02.10.2025 Vila Nova - Criciúma 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova 1:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Vila Nova - Cuiabá 2:2 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	33	16	9	8	34:21	13	57
2	Chapecoense-SC	33	16	6	11	47:32	15	54
3	Criciuma	33	15	9	9	43:30	13	54
4	Remo	33	14	12	7	42:32	10	54
5	Novorizontino	33	14	12	7	36:27	9	54
6	Goias	33	14	10	9	37:32	5	52
7	Athletico-PR	33	14	8	11	45:42	3	50
8	Cuiaba	33	13	11	9	40:37	3	50
9	CRB	33	14	6	13	39:34	5	48
10	Atletico GO	33	12	12	9	36:33	3	48
11	Avai	33	11	12	10	41:35	6	45
12	Vila Nova FC	33	11	10	12	32:34	-2	43
13	Operario-PR	33	11	9	13	34:37	-3	42
14	America MG	33	10	8	15	35:40	-5	38
15	Athletic Club	33	10	7	16	38:47	-9	37
16	Ferroviaria	32	8	13	11	36:42	-6	37
17	Volta Redonda	33	8	10	15	23:36	-13	34
18	Botafogo SP	33	8	10	15	29:49	-20	34
19	Amazonas	33	7	11	15	33:48	-15	32
20	Paysandu PA	32	5	11	16	28:40	-12	26

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )