Result
23:19
11/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge Cup - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
 World | EPCR Rugby TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (13 - 0)
- 17', Da Re G. (Penalty Goal),
- 23', Fusco A. (Try),
- 23', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Da Re G. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 19)
- 44', Morse M. (Try),
- 45', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Williams K. (Try),
- 55', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Da Re G. (Penalty Goal),
- 68', Edwards D. (Try),
- 73', Locatelli S. (Try),
- 74', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Zebre
32.7% | Draw
4.4% | Ospreys
62.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zebre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zebre than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospreys than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Zebre - Ospreys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↓
(2.91) |
21.09 ↑
(20.98) |
1.48 ↑
(1.44) |
8.1%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
What is the prediction for Zebre - Ospreys?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Ospreys will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ospreys (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 21:28.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 1.
- Zebre has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ospreys is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Ospreys is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 306:557. (average 15.3:27.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zebre won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 190:219. (average 19:21.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Zebre won against Ospreys?
Zebre has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Zebre?
Ospreys has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zebre - Ospreys were as follows:
11.10.2025
Ospreys
-
Zebre
24:0
30.11.2024
Zebre
-
Ospreys
22:17
28.10.2023
Ospreys
-
Zebre
34:31
29.01.2023
Zebre
-
Ospreys
24:28
Latest results of Ospreys
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Ulster | Ospreys | 28 : 24 |
| 2 | Newcastle Red Bulls | Stade Rochelais | 18 : 26 |
| 3 | Benetton | Cardiff Rugby | 38 : 35 |
| 4 | Exeter Chiefs | Munster | 31 : 21 |
| 5 | Montpellier | USA Perpignan | 53 : 13 |
| 6 | Connacht | Sharks | 29 : 12 |
| 7 | Zebre | Section Paloise | 31 : 15 |
| 8 | Stade Francais Paris | Dragons | 31 : 36 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ulster | Stade Rochelais | 41 : 24 |
| 2 | Benetton | Exeter Chiefs | 41 : 44 |
| 3 | Montpellier | Connacht | 45 : 22 |
| 4 | Zebre | Dragons | 32 : 35 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ulster | Exeter Chiefs | |
| 2 | Montpellier | Dragons | |
Final
