Portuguesa Santista vs Comercial SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/02/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 11

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Portuguesa Santista
60.3%
Draw
23.6%
Comercial SP
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 23.8% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 16.7% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (-19.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa Santista that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comercial SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portuguesa Santista - Comercial SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.55)
    3.84
    (3.8)
    5.66
    (5.09)
    10.3%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3).
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • In this match Portuguesa Santista is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Portuguesa Santista won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa Santista - Comercial SP were as follows:
    25.01.2023 Comercial SP - Portuguesa Santista 2:1
    Latest results of Portuguesa Santista
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Agua Santa ✔ 1491422:13928
    2Ferroviaria ✔ 1483321:111027
    3Sao Jose EC ✔ 1483320:11927
    4Ituano ✔ 1483319:11827
    5Votuporanguense ✔ 1473415:12324
    6Osasco Sporting1457221:16522
    7Juventus-SP1455420:19120
    8Sertaozinho1354415:18-319
    9Piracicaba1454511:14-319
    10Inter de Limeira1444614:16-216
    11Taubate1437421:22-116
    12Santo Andre1443712:20-815
    13Linense1426611:17-612
    14Monte Azul1325614:17-311
    15Gremio Prudente1418511:15-411
    16Sao Bento ✔ 1412116:21-155

          Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Paulista A3

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Agua Santa is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ferroviaria is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Jose EC is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ituano is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Votuporanguense is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Bento is Relegated to Paulista A3