Result
4:2
01/05/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Vysshaya Liga - Round 6
- Referee: Shiyan N. (Blr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', Dikhtievskiy V. ↓, Yatskevich V. ↑,
- 14', 1 - 0, Yatskevich V. ⚽, Turich A. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Latykhov D. ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Varaksa V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Yakovlev V. ↓, Thioune S. ↑,
- 46', Zubovich E. ↓, Makas A. ↑,
- 54', 3 - 1, Yatskevich V. ⚽, Turich A. (A),
- 67', Yatskevich V. ↓, Kuchinskiy K. ↑,
- 67', Varaksa V. ↓, Dieye M. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 1, Makas A. ⚽, Dieye M. (A),
- 75', Latykhov D. ↓, Seleznev I. ↑,
- 75', Jonathan J. ↓, Aleksandrovich A. ↑,
- 78', Dubinets I. ↓, Drachev Z. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 2, Zaynivov A. ⚽, Thioune S. (A),
- 86', Fedorenko D. ↓, Gurbanov M. ↑,
- 86', Pranovich I. ↓, Matvey S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Minsk
52.2% | Draw
27.3% | Naftan
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minsk's form might have worsened.Naftan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naftan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naftan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Minsk - Naftan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.57) |
3.39 ↓
(3.58) |
4.53 ↓
(6.6) |
8%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minsk won 3.
- Recent performances by Minsk have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Naftan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Minsk has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Minsk is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minsk won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:14. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Minsk won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Minsk won against Naftan?
Minsk has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naftan won against Minsk?
Naftan has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Minsk - Naftan were as follows:
02.08.2025
Naftan
-
Minsk
0:3
13.03.2025
Minsk
-
Naftan
1:2
31.08.2024
Naftan
-
Minsk
0:2
20.04.2024
Minsk
-
Naftan
1:1
25.08.2023
Minsk
-
Naftan
1:0
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Neman | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Din. Minsk | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | ML Vitebsk | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | FC Gomel | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Isloch | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Vitebsk | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Dynamo Brest | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Zhodino | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Dnepr Mogilev | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Slavia Mozyr | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | BATE | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Belshina | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 3 |
| 15 | Naftan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
| 16 | Baranovici | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga
