Result
1:0
26/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Capixaba - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Rossales 🟨,
- 33', Erlon 🟨,
- 39', Marcelinho 🟨,
- 41', David Lima 🟨,
- 45+3', Conrado 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Chico ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 60', Hygor 🟨,
- 69', Jaquison 🟨,
- 69', Fabio Magrao ↓, Bruno Paixao ↑,
- 73', Guilherme Brito ↓, Gabriel Lisboa ↑,
- 73', Marcelinho ↓, Italo ↑,
- 76', Diego 🟨,
- 78', Giovani 🟨,
- 78', Jaquison ↓, Francisco Arthur ↑,
- 83', Erlon ↓, Ribeiro S. ↑,
- 83', David Lima ↓, Felipe Affonso ↑,
- 84', Patrick ↓, Edson Mika ↑,
- 84', Conrado ↓, Wendel ↑,
- 85', Walney 🟨,
- 86', 🟨,
- 89', Francisco Arthur 🟨,
- 90+2', Italo 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Marcudinho ⚽,
- 90+6', Marcudinho 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+8', 🟨,
- 90+16', Gabriel Lisboa 🟥,
Chances of winning
Serra
52.1% | Draw
27.1% | Noroeste
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Serra - Noroeste Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.56) |
3.33 ↓
(3.6) |
4.33 ↓
(4.6) |
10.9%
(13.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-2. Second leg.
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serra won 1.
- Recent performances by Serra have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Noroeste is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Serra is considered a favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Serra won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Serra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Serra won against Noroeste?
Serra has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Noroeste won against Serra?
Noroeste has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serra - Noroeste were as follows:
20.02.2026
Noroeste
-
Serra
2:1
22.01.2026
Noroeste
-
Serra
1:1
25.06.2025
Noroeste
-
Serra
3:4
06.07.2024
Serra
-
Noroeste
2:2
11.05.2024
Noroeste
-
Serra
0:0
Latest results of Noroeste
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Rio Branco ES (4) | Porto Vitoria (5) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES (1) | Forte (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense (3) | Desportiva Ferroviaria (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Serra (2) | Real Noroeste (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Porto Vitoria | Vitoria ES | |
| 2 | Vilavelhense | Serra | |
Final
