Result
0:0
18/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mineiro - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (493/558) | 75% (167/224) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 49 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (493/558) | 75% (167/224) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (28/43) | 37% (18/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (201/251) | 64% (47/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (8/35) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Wesley 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Julio Cesar ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 55', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Jupi ↑,
- 58', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Cuello ↑,
- 67', Maycon ↓, Franco A. ↑,
- 69', Dyego ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 69', Xavier ↓, PH ↑,
- 72', Wesley 🟨,
- 74', Jefferson Renan ↓, Diego Leandro ↑,
- 76', Natanael ↓, Reinier ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
78.2% | Draw
15.9% | Tombense
5.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Mineiro's performance.Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-23.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Mineiro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tombense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Mineiro - Tombense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.17 ↓
(1.38) |
5.75 ↑
(4.02) |
15.48 ↑
(8.45) |
9.5%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Tombense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tombense has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Atlético MG is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:8. (average 1.9:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Tombense?
Atlético Mineiro has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Atlético Mineiro?
Tombense has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Tombense were as follows:
22.02.2025
Tombense
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:2
15.02.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Tombense
2:0
14.02.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Tombense
1:1
29.01.2023
Tombense
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Tombense
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Pouso Alegre | Cruzeiro | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | America MG | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final
