Result
1:1
11/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (427/482) | 81% (233/286) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (427/482) | 81% (233/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (23/35) | 39% (18/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (120/150) | 55% (27/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Lucas Arcanjo 🟨,
- 5', Willian Jose (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', Ramos S. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Ramon ⚽,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Jean Lucas ⚽, Willian Jose (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Renato Kayzer ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 61', Erick Pulga ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
- 61', Marinho ↓, Erick ↑,
- 62', Willian Jose ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 71', Edu ↓, Camutanga ↑,
- 71', Matheuzinho ↓, Cantalapiedra A. ↑,
- 74', Erick ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 74', Olivera C. ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 89', Rodrigo ↓, David Martins ↑,
- 90+6', Ramon ↓, Jamerson ↑,
Chances of winning
Bahia
55.5% | Draw
26.2% | Vitória Salvador
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Bahia - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.73) |
3.61 ↑
(3.45) |
5.16 ↑
(4.65) |
5.4%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bahia - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 35.2% – 92%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Vitória has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Bahia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Bahia: Ruan Pablo
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho
(Knee Injury)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Lopez R.
(Injury)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Kanu
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Vitória Salvador?
Bahia has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Bahia?
Vitória Salvador has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
07.03.2026
Bahia
-
Vitória Salvador
2:1
25.01.2026
Vitória Salvador
-
Bahia
0:1
16.10.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Bahia
2:1
18.05.2025
Bahia
-
Vitória Salvador
2:1
23.03.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Bahia
1:1
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 18 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
