Result
2:1
18/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 9
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (274/333) | 90% (329/367) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (274/333) | 90% (329/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (19/42) | 58% (11/19) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (47/68) | 84% (106/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 24% (9/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.11 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Jean Lucas 🟥,
- 13', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Erick Pulga ⚽, Caio Alexandre (A),
- 33', Baralhas ↓, Erick ↑,
- 40', Claudinho 🟨,
- 42', Erick 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Wellington Rato ↓, Gustavo Silva ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez L. ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 53', Gilberto 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 1, Renato Kayzer ⚽, Osvaldo (A),
- 55', Cauly ↓, Erick ↑,
- 55', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
- 59', Erick Pulga 🟨,
- 63', Osvaldo 🟨,
- 64', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Michel Araujo ⚽, Tiago (A),
- 68', Osvaldo ↓, Janderson ↑,
- 68', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Pepe ↑,
- 71', Pepe 🟥,
- 78', Erick Pulga ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
- 83', Claudinho ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 88', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
54.9% | Draw
27% | Vitória Salvador
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Bahia - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.7) |
3.54 ↑
(3.51) |
5.21 ↓
(5.39) |
5.1%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bahia - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Bahia is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Bahia: Ademir
(Inactive)
Arias S.
(Muscle Injury)
Gilberto
(Inactive)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Ronaldo Strada
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Matheuzinho
(Red Card)
Pepe
(Inactive)
Willian Oliveira
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Gabriel
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Vitória Salvador?
Bahia has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Bahia?
Vitória Salvador has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
23.03.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Bahia
1:1
01.02.2025
Bahia
-
Vitória Salvador
0:0
11.08.2024
Bahia
-
Vitória Salvador
2:0
21.04.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Bahia
2:2
07.04.2024
Bahia
-
Vitória Salvador
1:1
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 32:17 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 36:20 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Fluminense | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Internacional | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 27 |
| 12 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22:34 | -12 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
