Result
0:1
09/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa do Nordeste - Round 3
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Valdir Junior ↓, Weriton ↑,
- 45+4', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Ricardo Cerqueira 🟨,
- 60', Breiner C. ↓, Andrey Quintino ↑,
- 62', 🟨,
- 62', Leilson 🟨,
- 63', Pedro Igor ↓, Elimar ↑,
- 70', Caio Felipe ↓, Karl ↑,
- 70', Leilson ↓, Rodrigo Alves ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 72', Wendel ↓, Sassa ↑,
- 79', Ricardo Cerqueira ↓, Lucas Bessa ↑,
- 79', Gustavo Crecci ↓, Everton Kanela ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana 36.4% | Draw 30.9% | Confiança 32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Itabaiana - Confiança Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.52 ↑ (2.4) |
2.89 ↓ (3.1) |
2.82 ↑ (2.69) |
9.6% (11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Itabaiana - Confiança?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Confiança (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Confiança (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-1. Aggregate: 2-3. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 1.
- Itabaiana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Confiança's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Confiança may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Itabaiana won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Confiança?
Itabaiana has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Confiança won against Itabaiana?
Confiança has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Confiança were as follows:
28.02.2026
Itabaiana
-
Confiança
0:2
25.02.2026
Confiança
-
Itabaiana
1:2
08.02.2026
Confiança
-
Itabaiana
1:0
12.07.2025
Itabaiana
-
Confiança
0:0
29.03.2025
Confiança
-
Itabaiana
1:1
Latest results of Itabaiana
Latest results of Confiança
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Vitoria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Sousa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Fluminense-PI | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Itabaiana | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Confianca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Juazeirense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Piaui | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sport Recife | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ferroviario | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | America RN | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 5 | Imperatriz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Retro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | ABC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Jacuipense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 5 | Maranhao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
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