Result
2:3
28/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 85', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Brasiliense
52.7% | Draw
27.5% | Ceilândia
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brasiliense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Brasiliense - Ceilândia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.8) |
3.33 ↓
(3.37) |
4.62 ↑
(4.16) |
9.3%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brasiliense won 2.
- Brasiliense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ceilândia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Brasiliense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ceilândia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Brasiliense is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brasiliense won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:12. (average 1.7:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brasiliense won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 1.9:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Brasiliense won against Ceilândia?
Brasiliense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceilândia won against Brasiliense?
Ceilândia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brasiliense - Ceilândia were as follows:
02.02.2025
Ceilândia
-
Brasiliense
0:1
20.01.2024
Ceilândia
-
Brasiliense
2:1
24.06.2023
Ceilândia
-
Brasiliense
1:1
03.06.2023
Brasiliense
-
Ceilândia
0:0
29.01.2023
Ceilândia
-
Brasiliense
0:3
Latest results of Brasiliense
Latest results of Ceilândia
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gama ✔ | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sobradinho | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Ceilandia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Capital | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Brasiliense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Brasilia | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Paranoa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 6 |
| 9 | Brasilia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4:19 | -15 | 3 |
| 10 | ARUC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:20 | -17 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)
