Sergipe vs América de Propriá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
01/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Sergipano - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
21
Yellow cards
42
Total shots
86
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
52
Corner kicks
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Lucas Mineiro ,
  • 39', Recife Felipe 🟨,
  • 45+5', Carioca 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Paulo Henrique , Joao Varolo ,
  • 58', Matheus Neris 🟨,
  • 59', Wilker V. 🟨,
  • 61', Recife Felipe , Soares Santos M. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Danielzinho ,
  • 72', Lucas Mineiro , Cascais V. ,
  • 72', Ze Artur , Betinho ,
  • 78', Wesley Ceifador , Leo Cotia ,
  • 78', Danielzinho , Tiquinho ,
  • 83', Obina , Biro Biro ,
  • 83', Dudu , Lemos Y. ,
  • 84', Juliano Fabro , Felipe Valdivia ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟨,
  • Penalties (6 - 5)
  • 1, Leo Cotia (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Victor Massaia (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Lemos Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Wilker V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Paulo Miranda (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Cascais V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Soares Santos M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Betinho (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Tiquinho (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Andrey (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Yuri Mamute (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Rafael Luiz (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Sergipe
61%
Draw
26.7%
América de Propriá
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 27.3% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 26.5% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergipe's performance.
  • América de Propriá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América de Propriá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sergipe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Propriá than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América de Propriá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sergipe - América de Propriá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.67)
    3.67
    (3.32)
    7.91
    (4.91)
    2.3%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Sergipe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • América de Propriá has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • América de Propriá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sergipe is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sergipe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sergipe - América de Propriá were as follows:
    26.02.2026 América de Propriá - Sergipe 1:1
    11.01.2026 América de Propriá - Sergipe 2:2
    01.03.2025 Sergipe - América de Propriá 0:1
    21.01.2024 Sergipe - América de Propriá 1:1
    30.01.2023 Sergipe - América de Propriá 2:0
    Latest results of Sergipe
    14.02.2026 Lagarto - Sergipe 1:0
    07.02.2026 Sergipe - Dorense 2:1
    Latest results of América de Propriá
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sergipe (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)America SE (6)0 : 3
    3Itabaiana (2)Falcon (7)1 : 0
    4Confianca (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sergipe (1)America SE (6)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Itabaiana (2)Confianca (4)0 : 2, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sergipe (1)Confianca (4)1 : 0, 1 : 1

    3rd place
    2Itabaiana (2)America SE (6)1 : 0