Stefan Palosi vs Mathys Erhard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Targu Mures Challenger Men Stefan Palosi - Mathys Erhard
Result
2:0
09/09/2025 at 11:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
74%65%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (38/64)57% (29/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (8/22)44% (12/27)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
43% (22/51)41% (26/64)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (15/27)64% (14/22)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
53% (46/86)53% (41/78)
Return Points Won
47% (37/78)47% (40/86)
Total Points Won
51% (83/164)49% (81/164)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
06
Service Games Won
64% (7/11)55% (6/11)
Return Games Won
45% (5/11)36% (4/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Stefan Palosi
35.4%
Mathys Erhard
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 69%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefan Palosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Palosi than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Stefan Palosi - Mathys Erhard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.88)

    1.44
    (1.38)
    7.2%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Stefan Palosi - Mathys Erhard?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palosi (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Palosi is ranked ATP: 731. Erhard is ranked ATP: 263.
    • Palosi is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Erhard has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Palosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Erhard is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Palosi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stefan Palosi - Mathys Erhard were as follows:
    16.01.2024 Mathys Erhard - Stefan Palosi 1:2
    31.01.2023 Mathys Erhard - Stefan Palosi 2:0
    Latest results of Stefan Palosi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Zapata Miralles B.2 : 0
    2Brunold M.Martin D.2 : 0
    3Agamenone F.Alcala Gurri M.2 : 0
    4Lopez Morillo I. (Q)Rincon D. (6)0 : 2
    5Jianu F. C. (3)Compagnucci T.2 : 0
    6Damas M.Neuchrist M.1 : 2
    7Marti Pujolras A.Oberleitner N.2 : 0
    8Palosi S. (Q)Erhard M. (5)2 : 0
    9Poljicak M. (7)Ionel N. D.2 : 1
    10Boitan G. A.Tomescu D. A. (WC)2 : 0
    11Coman M. A. (WC)Cretu C. (Q)0 : 2
    12Demanet E. (Q)Alvarez Varona N. (RET.) (4)1 : 0
    13Denolly C. (8)Andreescu S. A. (Q)2 : 0
    14Gima S. (WC)Picchione A.0 : 2
    15Papoe R. M. (Q)Campana Lee G.2 : 0
    16Nijboer R.Clarke J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Brunold M.2 : 0
    2Agamenone F.Rincon D. (6)2 : 1
    3Jianu F. C. (3)Neuchrist M.
    4Marti Pujolras A.Palosi S.
    5Poljicak M. (7)Boitan G. A.2 : 1
    6Cretu C.Demanet E.2 : 1
    7Denolly C. (8)Picchione A.
    8Papoe R. M.Clarke J. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Agamenone F.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Poljicak M. (7)Cretu C.
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2