Result
1:0
08/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Uriburu R. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Porto J. ↓, Curcio N. ↑,
- 61', Astina M. 🟨,
- 67', Cenci B. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
- 67', Cardozo E. ↓, Escurra J. ↑,
- 70', Tello F. ↓, Pardo I. ↑,
- 74', Iglesias L. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 0, Escurra J. ⚽,
- 77', Escurra J. 🟨,
- 80', Britez E. ↓, Zurbriggen J. ↑,
- 80', Astina M. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 81', Flores G. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
- 90', Almada T. ↓, Quinteros T. ↑,
- 90', Iglesias L. ↓, Escalante L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Almirante Brown
39.1% | Draw
33.7% | San Telmo
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Almirante Brown - San Telmo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.16) |
2.76 ↓
(2.9) |
3.47 ↓
(3.58) |
7.2%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Almirante Brown - San Telmo?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Almirante Brown (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- San Telmo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Almirante Brown will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 0.9:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almirante Brown won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Almirante Brown won against San Telmo?
Almirante Brown has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Telmo won against Almirante Brown?
San Telmo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almirante Brown - San Telmo were as follows:
03.05.2025
San Telmo
-
Almirante Brown
0:1
05.10.2024
San Telmo
-
Almirante Brown
0:1
20.05.2024
Almirante Brown
-
San Telmo
0:0
10.06.2023
San Telmo
-
Almirante Brown
3:1
05.02.2023
Almirante Brown
-
San Telmo
1:0
Latest results of Almirante Brown
Latest results of San Telmo
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Bye | |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | San Miguel | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | Chaco For Ever | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | San Martin T. | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Patronato | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | Temperley | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | Deportivo Maipu | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Tristan Suarez | Agropecuario | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | Deportivo Moron | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Gimnasia y Tiro | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | CA Estudiantes | Tristan Suarez | |
