Result
0:1
03/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 13
- Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Uriburu R. 🟨,
- 16', Yangali J. 🟨,
- 31', Cardozo E. 🟨,
- 37', Ojeda L. 🟥,
- 42', Uriburu R. ↓, Formichelli S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Curcio N. ↓, Tello F. ↑,
- 55', Yangali J. ↓, Britez E. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 1, Gauna S. ⚽,
- 59', Cardozo E. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 60', Gonzalez R. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
- 62', Acuna M. 🟨,
- 67', Maidana A. ↓, Porto J. ↑,
- 67', Salerno M. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
- 74', Cenci B. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
- 74', Gauna S. ↓, Belloso M. ↑,
- 74', Porto J. 🟨,
- 83', Vazquez J. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
- 90', Formichelli S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Telmo
43.2% | Draw
31.4% | Almirante Brown
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
San Telmo - Almirante Brown Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.75) |
2.96 ↓
(3.5) |
3.65 ↓
(4.32) |
7.6%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for San Telmo - Almirante Brown?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Almirante Brown will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 1.
- San Telmo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Almirante Brown is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- San Telmo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has San Telmo won against Almirante Brown?
San Telmo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almirante Brown won against San Telmo?
Almirante Brown has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Telmo - Almirante Brown were as follows:
05.10.2024
San Telmo
-
Almirante Brown
0:1
20.05.2024
Almirante Brown
-
San Telmo
0:0
10.06.2023
San Telmo
-
Almirante Brown
3:1
05.02.2023
Almirante Brown
-
San Telmo
1:0
Latest results of San Telmo
Latest results of Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 44 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 43 |
| 4 | Patronato | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 41 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 27 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | San Martin T | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | All Boys | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 12 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | Almagro | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 31 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 15 | Ferro | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 27 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 23:29 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 26 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 29:12 | 17 | 52 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Chacarita Juniors | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 45 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 6 | Deportivo Moron | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 28:19 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 35 |
| 10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Nueva Chicago | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:26 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | CA Mitre | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 18:20 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 | Def. de Belgrano | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 31 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 20:33 | -13 | 27 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 13:32 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 14:42 | -28 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
