Result
3:2
05/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 3', Jairo 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Erlon ⚽,
- 27', David Lima 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Tiago Moura (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', 1 - 2, Tiago Moura ⚽,
- 45', Jorge Mendes 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 2, Guilherme Brito ⚽,
- 45+5', 3 - 2, Italo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lucas Silva ↓, Antonio Junior ↑,
- 46', Jairo ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 49', Tiago Moura 🟨,
- 57', Jaquison 🟨,
- 58', David Lima ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
- 60', Kauan 🟨,
- 63', Jorge Mendes ↓, Romaneli ↑,
- 65', Ruan 🟨,
- 68', 🟨,
- 68', Guilherme Brito 🟨,
- 71', Murilo 🟨,
- 71', Marcelinho 🟨,
- 71', Marcelinho 🟥,
- 80', Kauan ↓, Felipe Affonso ↑,
- 80', Yan de Jesus ↓, Cunha V. M. ↑,
- 84', Ruan ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Noroeste
28.9% | Draw
35.4% | Desportiva Ferroviaria
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Noroeste have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Desportiva Ferroviaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desportiva Ferroviaria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desportiva Ferroviaria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Noroeste - Desportiva Ferroviaria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↓
(3.16) |
2.56 ↓
(3.25) |
2.54 ↑
(2.13) |
10.3%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ferroviaria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Noroeste won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Noroeste won against Desportiva Ferroviaria?
Noroeste has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Desportiva Ferroviaria won against Noroeste?
Desportiva Ferroviaria has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Noroeste - Desportiva Ferroviaria were as follows:
19.04.2025
Noroeste
-
Desportiva Ferroviaria
2:1
23.02.2025
Noroeste
-
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:1
10.07.2024
Desportiva Ferroviaria
-
Noroeste
1:1
19.06.2024
Desportiva Ferroviaria
-
Noroeste
3:1
25.02.2024
Noroeste
-
Desportiva Ferroviaria
2:2
Latest results of Noroeste
Latest results of Desportiva Ferroviaria
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Rio Branco ES (4) | Porto Vitoria (5) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES (1) | Forte (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense (3) | Desportiva Ferroviaria (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Serra (2) | Real Noroeste (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Porto Vitoria | Vitoria ES | |
| 2 | Vilavelhense | Serra | |
Final
