Nacional de Patos vs Sousa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paraibano - Round 7

Match Stats

Yellow cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Renezinho 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Pingo ,
  • 40', Felipe Jacare 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Abnner Oliveira , De Araujo F. ,
  • 46', Natalicio , Veraldo ,
  • 46', Gilmar , Abraao ,
  • 62', Pingo , Max Nobrega ,
  • 63', Guto , Gustavo ,
  • 68', Aslen Kevin , Crystian ,
  • 73', Vitinho , Riquelme ,
  • 79', Nathan , Mateuzinho ,
  • 79', Yan Philippe , Matheus Bambu ,
  • 79', Negrito , Renan ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Nacional de Patos
30.4%
Draw
30.3%
Sousa
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 28.5% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 28.4% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional de Patos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Nacional de Patos - Sousa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (3.21)
    2.93
    (3.17)
    2.33
    (2.08)
    10.6%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Nacional de Patos - Sousa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Nacional de Patos (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional de Patos (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional de Patos won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Sousa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sousa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nacional de Patos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional de Patos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional de Patos - Sousa were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Sousa - Nacional de Patos 3:0
    21.01.2024 Nacional de Patos - Sousa 1:0
    09.07.2023 Sousa - Nacional de Patos 1:0
    21.05.2023 Nacional de Patos - Sousa 1:0
    05.02.2023 Nacional de Patos - Sousa 0:1
    Latest results of Sousa
    01.02.2026 Sousa - Esporte de Patos 0:1
    28.01.2026 Sousa - Treze 2:1
    24.01.2026 Botafogo PB - Sousa 1:1
    21.01.2026 Serra Branca - Sousa 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Serra Branca (4)Botafogo PB (1)1 : 0
    2Sousa (3)Campinense (2)0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2