Itabuna vs Doce Mel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Baiano Itabuna - Doce Mel
07/02/2023 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Itabuna
77.9%
Draw
15.9%
Doce Mel
6.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 29.6% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 29% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Itabuna's performance.
  • Doce Mel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Doce Mel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (-25.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Itabuna that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doce Mel than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Doce Mel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Itabuna - Doce Mel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.17
    (1.77)
    5.73
    (3.05)
    14.85
    (4.69)
    9.5%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Latest results of Itabuna
    Latest results of Doce Mel
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Vitoria (1)Alagoinhas (4)3 : 0, 4 : 0
    2Jacuipense (2)Bahia (3)0 : 5, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Vitoria (1)Bahia (3)1 : 1, 0 : 2