Result
1:2 penalties
22/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (163/240) | 80% (356/444) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (163/240) | 80% (356/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 43% (29/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (37/78) | 64% (78/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (17/21) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Rene (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', 1 - 0, Ze Vitor ⚽,
- 42', Caio Roque 🟨,
- 45+2', Eduardo Biazus 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Caio Roque ↓, Gustavo Salomao ↑,
- 46', Raniele ↓, Garro R. ↑,
- 54', Breno Bidon 🟨,
- 66', Breno Bidon ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 66', Gui Negao ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 66', Depay M. ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
- 67', Eduardo Biazus ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 71', Ewerthon ↓, Cauari ↑,
- 80', Joao Vitor 🟨,
- 84', Gabriel Pires ↓, Hudson ↑,
- 85', Guilherme Dantas ↓, Eric Botteghin ↑,
- 86', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 90', Matheus Bidu ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 90+2', Bruno Bertinato 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
- Penalties (7 - 8)
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, (Penalty Awarded),
- 9, (Penalty Awarded),
- 9, (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Portuguesa
20.1% | Draw
29.4% | Corinthians
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Portuguesa - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.63 ↑
(4.42) |
3.11 ↑
(3.03) |
1.84 ↓
(1.88) |
8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portuguesa - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Corinthians (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Corinthians (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Corinthians (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 0.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Corinthians is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Portuguesa: Lucas Hipolito
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Breno Bidon
(Inactive)
Hugo
(Injury)
Kaio Cesar
(Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Portuguesa: Ewerthon
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Martinez J.
(Inactive)
Pereira M.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa won against Corinthians?
Portuguesa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Portuguesa?
Corinthians has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa - Corinthians were as follows:
15.02.2025
Portuguesa
-
Corinthians
2:2
11.02.2024
Corinthians
-
Portuguesa
2:0
12.02.2023
Portuguesa
-
Corinthians
0:0
Latest results of Portuguesa
Latest results of Corinthians
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
