Cobreloa vs San Marcos de Arica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
30/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Relegation - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Jona H. (Chi)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
26
Red Cards
01
Total shots
135
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
73
Corner Kicks
34
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
12
Throw-ins
1525
Fouls
88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 14', Caceres C. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Jara A. (Pen),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Navarrete G. ,
  • 39', Ledezma I. 🟨,
  • 41', 3 - 0, Jara A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Abalos A. , Camarda M. ,
  • 46', Caceres C. , Velazco F. ,
  • 52', Camarda M. 🟨,
  • 62', Plaza D. , Fernandez R. ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Barrios A. ,
  • 70', Ledezma I. , Garcia L. ,
  • 73', Cubillos G. 🟨,
  • 74', Araya Tobar H. E. 🟨,
  • 80', Gauna N. A. 🟨,
  • 84', Valdes A. , Huanca C. ,
  • 84', Zuniga S. , Romero P. ,
  • 86', Fernandez R. 🟨,
  • 89', Fernandez R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Gauna N. A. , Valenzuela C. ,

Chances of winning


Cobreloa
55.4%
Draw
25.2%
San Marcos de Arica
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 26.7% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 28.5% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Cobreloa - San Marcos de Arica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.74)
    3.67
    (3.45)
    4.75
    (4.5)
    8.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 2.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • In this match, Cobreloa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cobreloa won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:5. (average 2.2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cobreloa - San Marcos de Arica were as follows:
    26.11.2025 San Marcos de Arica - Cobreloa 2:1
    19.07.2025 Cobreloa - San Marcos de Arica 2:0
    01.03.2025 San Marcos de Arica - Cobreloa 1:1
    28.06.2024 Cobreloa - San Marcos de Arica 0:0
    22.06.2024 San Marcos de Arica - Cobreloa 0:1
    Latest results of Cobreloa
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Limache532011:5611
    2U. Catolica531111:7410
    3Union La Calera53027:349
    4Huachipato53027:619
    5Colo Colo53025:419
    6Nublense52215:418
    7A. Italiano52124:407
    8Cobresal52126:7-17
    9U. De Concepcion52124:8-47
    10U. De Chile51314:406
    11Coquimbo52035:6-16
    12O'Higgins52036:8-26
    13Palestino51227:8-15
    14La Serena51224:5-15
    15D. Concepcion51134:7-34
    16Everton51043:7-43

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso