Cerezo Osaka vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League
Football Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata
Result
3:1
11/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.49
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
2610
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
124
Passes
88% (429/489)85% (390/460)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.36
Total shots
2610
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
104
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
133
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
3917
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
82
Passes
88% (429/489)85% (390/460)
Long passes
49% (17/35)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
79% (140/177)69% (63/91)
Crosses
23% (5/22)53% (8/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.611.01
Throw-ins
2419
Fouls
28
Tackles
62% (8/13)63% (12/19)
Duels won
3535
Clearances
2034
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.361.26
Goals prevented
-0.64-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Horigome Y. ⚽,
  • 13', 1 - 1, Nakajima M. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Fernandes L. ⚽, Homma S. (A),
  • 61', Kasai K. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
  • 61', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
  • 71', Nakajima M. ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
  • 71', Homma S. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
  • 73', Okumura J. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
  • 73', Arai T. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
  • 78', Kida H. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
  • 78', Inoue R. ↓, Nishio R. ↑,
  • 78', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Fujiwara S. (Own goal),
  • 82', Shirai E. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
  • 84', Shibayama M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
53.6%		Draw
24.6%		Albirex Niigata
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 23.1% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 22.6% 19.4%

Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.84 ↑
(1.66)		 3.96 ↓
(4.09)		 4.43 ↓
(4.78)		 2.1%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: Cerezo Osaka will win (30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.41% – 99.07%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cerezo Osaka will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
    • Cerezo Osaka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Niigata is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cerezo Osaka is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Noborizato K. (Inactive) Takahashi N. (Foot Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Niigata: Fitzgerald M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Niigata: Hashimoto K. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka 2:2
    20.07.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata 1:2
    07.04.2024 Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka 0:1
    03.12.2023 Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka 1:0
    18.02.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata 2:2
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    06.08.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺
    19.07.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka 3:3 ✺
    16.07.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokushima Vortis 2:0 ✺
    05.07.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka 0:1 ✺
    21.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    20.07.2025 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 ✺
    05.07.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata 2:1 ✺
    29.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia 0:4 ✺
    25.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺
    21.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata 3:2 ✺
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers ✔ 36217855:302570
    2Kashiwa Reysol361912556:332369
    3Vissel Kobe36189946:311563
    4Kyoto361711859:401962
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima361881042:261662
    6Kawasaki Frontale361512966:511557
    7Machida361691149:361357
    8Gamba Osaka361661449:53-454
    9Urawa Reds3614111140:39153
    10Cerezo Osaka3614101258:51752
    11FC Tokyo361391440:47-748
    12Avispa Fukuoka3611121333:37-445
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3611111440:48-844
    14Verdy3611101522:36-1443
    15Okayama361191632:41-942
    16Yokohama F. Marinos361171842:44-240
    17Nagoya Grampus3610101642:53-1140
    18Yokohama FC ✔ 36882024:43-1932
    19Shonan Bellmare ✔ 36782134:61-2729
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 364112134:63-2923

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kashima Antlers is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    Yokohama FC is Relegated to J2 League
    Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
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