Result
1:0
20/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Sergipano - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Carlos Henrique 🟨,
- 14', Betao 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Dione ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nauhan ↓, Oliveira R. ↑,
- 46', Carlos Henrique ↓, Matheus Moreira ↑,
- 65', Isaque ↓, Caio Felipe ↑,
- 67', Torelli Patrick ↓, Jeanderson ↑,
- 67', Ueslei ↓, Lucas Lopes ↑,
- 71', Fabricio Oya ↓, Jair ↑,
- 74', Davi Santos ↓, Ariel ↑,
- 78', Jonata ↓, Kayan ↑,
- 78', Karl ↓, Yago Henrique ↑,
- 78', Dione ↓, Lemos I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana
63.6% | Draw
24% | Falcon
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Falcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Itabaiana - Falcon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.41) |
3.78 ↓
(4) |
7.28 ↑
(7) |
10.3%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Itabaiana is the clear favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 2.1:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Itabaiana won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Falcon?
Itabaiana has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Falcon won against Itabaiana?
Falcon has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Falcon were as follows:
16.01.2026
Falcon
-
Itabaiana
0:2
01.02.2025
Itabaiana
-
Falcon
4:0
18.02.2024
Itabaiana
-
Falcon
4:0
26.03.2023
Itabaiana
-
Falcon
2:1
18.03.2023
Falcon
-
Itabaiana
1:1
Latest results of Itabaiana
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lagarto (3) | America SE (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Itabaiana (2) | Falcon (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Confianca (4) | Guarany SE (5) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | America SE (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | Confianca (4) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Confianca (4) | |
3rd place| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | America SE (6) | |
