Novo Hamburgo vs Esportivo Bento Gonçalves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2 Novo Hamburgo - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
Result
2:1
16/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Gaucho 2 - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', 2 - 0, ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Novo Hamburgo
57.4%
Draw
26.5%
Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 25% 13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 24.4% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Novo Hamburgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novo Hamburgo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Novo Hamburgo - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.48)
    3.46
    (3.64)
    5.68
    (6.72)
    9.4%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • Hamburgo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Esportivo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Hamburgo is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hamburgo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hamburgo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Novo Hamburgo - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves were as follows:
    11.02.2023 Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Novo Hamburgo 0:0
    Latest results of Novo Hamburgo
    Latest results of Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Inter Santa MariaGE Bage2 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Passo FundoVeranopolis2 : 2, 1 : 2
    3AimoreLajeadense2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4Novo HamburgoGramadense5 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Inter Santa MariaVeranopolis1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2AimoreNovo Hamburgo0 : 0, 1 : 3

    Final
    1Inter Santa MariaNovo Hamburgo